Match Info

USA: NFL - ROUND 12

Date: 26 November 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN


	Indianapolis Colts		Tampa Bay Buccaneers

	1	2
	1.65	2.35	Watch
	1.67	2.25
	1.65	2.3	Watch
	1.67	2.33
	1.67	2.33
	1.67	2.3
	1.67	2.25
	1.6	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.84)	2.29 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 45.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Network on TV: CBS

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Current Win Probability

Indianapolis Colts
58%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Indianapolis Colts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Indianapolis Colts's performance.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tampa Bay Buccaneers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indianapolis Colts than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Indianapolis Colts that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Buccaneers than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tampa Bay Buccaneers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	0%	41.7%

Indianapolis Colts - Tampa Bay Buccaneers Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Indianapolis will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Indianapolis: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:22

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 9).

Recent matches Indianapolis is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tampa Bay is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tampa Bay could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Indianapolis will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Indianapolis won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 118-98.

Including matches at home between the teams Indianapolis won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 83-60.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Indianapolis Colts
NFL
12.11.23	New England Patriots - Indianapolis Colts	6:10 ✺
05.11.23	Carolina Panthers - Indianapolis Colts	13:27 ✺
29.10.23	Indianapolis Colts - New Orleans Saints	27:38 ✺
22.10.23	Indianapolis Colts - Cleveland Browns	38:39 ✺
15.10.23	Jacksonville Jaguars - Indianapolis Colts	37:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLLL
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers
NFL
19.11.23	San Francisco 49ers - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	27:14 ✺
12.11.23	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Tennessee Titans	20:6 ✺
05.11.23	Houston Texans - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	39:37 ✺
26.10.23	Buffalo Bills - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	24:18 ✺
22.10.23	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Atlanta Falcons	13:16 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
27.08.22	Indianapolis Colts - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	27:10
28.11.21	Indianapolis Colts - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	31:38
08.12.19	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Indianapolis Colts	38:35
29.11.15	Indianapolis Colts - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	25:12

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