Match Info

USA: NFL - ROUND 9

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Atlanta Falcons		Minnesota Vikings

	1	2
	1.54	2.65	Watch
	1.53	2.55
	1.54	2.55	Watch
	1.5	2.76
	1.5	2.76
	1.56	2.6
	1.56	2.47
	1.5	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.88)	2.6 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 39.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Network on TV: FOX

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Current Win Probability

Atlanta Falcons
63%

Minnesota Vikings
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlanta Falcons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlanta Falcons's performance.

Minnesota Vikings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Minnesota Vikings might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta Falcons than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlanta Falcons that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota Vikings than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Minnesota Vikings could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Atlanta Falcons - Minnesota Vikings Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Minnesota will win (votes: 8 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlanta: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:18

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 7).

Recent matches Atlanta is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Minnesota is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Atlanta will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlanta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 99-126.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlanta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19-34.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlanta Falcons
NFL
29.10.23	Tennessee Titans - Atlanta Falcons	28:23 ✺
22.10.23	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Atlanta Falcons	13:16 ✺
15.10.23	Atlanta Falcons - Washington Commanders	16:24 ✺
08.10.23	Atlanta Falcons - Houston Texans	21:19 ✺
01.10.23	Jacksonville Jaguars - Atlanta Falcons	23:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLWL
- Minnesota Vikings
NFL
29.10.23	Green Bay Packers - Minnesota Vikings	10:24 ✺
23.10.23	Minnesota Vikings - San Francisco 49ers	22:17 ✺
15.10.23	Chicago Bears - Minnesota Vikings	13:19 ✺
08.10.23	Minnesota Vikings - Kansas City Chiefs	20:27 ✺
01.10.23	Carolina Panthers - Minnesota Vikings	13:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
18.10.20	Minnesota Vikings - Atlanta Falcons	23:40
08.09.19	Minnesota Vikings - Atlanta Falcons	28:12
03.12.17	Atlanta Falcons - Minnesota Vikings	9:14
29.11.15	Atlanta Falcons - Minnesota Vikings	10:20
28.09.14	Minnesota Vikings - Atlanta Falcons	41:28

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