Match Info

USA: NFL - ROUND 4

Date: 1 October 2023, Sunday

Location: Wembley Stadium (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN
Belgium	Eleven Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Finland	CMore, CMore MAX, CMore Sport
France	beIN Sports
Hungary	Arena 4
Portugal	Eleven Sports 6
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Jacksonville Jaguars		Atlanta Falcons

	1	2
	1.59	2.5	Watch
	1.57	2.45
	1.61	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.4
	1.6	2.48
	1.57	2.55
	1.63	2.32
	1.53	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.62)	2.44 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 42.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

Watch this match and NFL with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX (WFOX-DT ‚Äì Jacksonville, FL)

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Current Win Probability

Jacksonville Jaguars
60.6%

Atlanta Falcons
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacksonville Jaguars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Atlanta Falcons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacksonville Jaguars than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta Falcons than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.1%	0%	25.9%

Jacksonville Jaguars - Atlanta Falcons Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Jacksonville will win (votes: 20 - 74.1%). Atlanta will win (votes: 7 - 25.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jacksonville: 57.6% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:19

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Preview

Neutral location - Wembley Stadium.

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Jacksonville won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Atlanta have a series of home games.

Jacksonville will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Jacksonville won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 170-211.

Including matches at home between the teams Jacksonville won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 98-119.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacksonville Jaguars
NFL
24.09.23	Jacksonville Jaguars - Houston Texans	17:37 ✺
17.09.23	Jacksonville Jaguars - Kansas City Chiefs	9:17 ✺
10.09.23	Indianapolis Colts - Jacksonville Jaguars	21:31 ✺
26.08.23	Jacksonville Jaguars - Miami Dolphins	31:18 ✺
19.08.23	Detroit Lions - Jacksonville Jaguars	7:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWWW
- Atlanta Falcons
NFL
24.09.23	Detroit Lions - Atlanta Falcons	20:6 ✺
17.09.23	Atlanta Falcons - Green Bay Packers	25:24 ✺
10.09.23	Atlanta Falcons - Carolina Panthers	24:10 ✺
24.08.23	Atlanta Falcons - Pittsburgh Steelers	0:24 ✺
18.08.23	Atlanta Falcons - Cincinnati Bengals	13:13 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

NFL
27.08.22	Atlanta Falcons - Jacksonville Jaguars	28:12
28.11.21	Jacksonville Jaguars - Atlanta Falcons	14:21
22.12.19	Atlanta Falcons - Jacksonville Jaguars	24:12
29.08.19	Jacksonville Jaguars - Atlanta Falcons	12:31
25.08.18	Jacksonville Jaguars - Atlanta Falcons	17:6
31.08.17	Atlanta Falcons - Jacksonville Jaguars	7:13
01.09.16	Atlanta Falcons - Jacksonville Jaguars	17:15

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