Match Info

USA: NFL - Round 15

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Empower Field at Mile High (Denver, CO)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Hungary	Net4+
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN NFL
Usa	NFL Game Pass


	Denver Broncos		Indianapolis Colts

	1	2
	1.44	2.85
	1.45	2.8
	1.44	2.88	Watch
	1.46	2.92
	1.47	2.71	Watch
	1.45	2.9
	1.44	2.85
	1.44	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.55)	2.85 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 43.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

Watch this match and NFL with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: CBS (WANE-Ft. Wayne, IN)

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Current Win Probability

Denver Broncos
66.3%

Indianapolis Colts
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denver Broncos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Indianapolis Colts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denver Broncos than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Denver Broncos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indianapolis Colts than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Indianapolis Colts could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	0%	30.8%

Denver Broncos - Indianapolis Colts Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Denver will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Indianapolis will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Denver: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:20

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (0 - 7)
04:08, Richardson A. (Touchdown),
04:08, Gay M. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (7 - 6)
00:07, Gay M. (Field Goal),
09:31, Trautman A. (Touchdown),
09:31, Lutz W. (Extra Point),
14:50, Gay M. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (3 - 0)
09:38, Lutz W. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (21 - 0)
01:09, Adkins N. (Touchdown),
01:09, Lutz W. (Extra Point),
02:31, Bonito N. (Touchdown),
02:31, Lutz W. (Extra Point),
09:12, Sutton C. (Touchdown),
09:12, Lutz W. (Extra Point),

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Denver won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Denver will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Denver won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 216:204 (average 24:22.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Denver won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 87:80 (average 21.8:20).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denver Broncos
NFL
02.12.24	Denver Broncos - Cleveland Browns	41:32 ✺
24.11.24	Las Vegas Raiders - Denver Broncos	19:29 ✺
17.11.24	Denver Broncos - Atlanta Falcons	38:6 ✺
10.11.24	Kansas City Chiefs - Denver Broncos	16:14 ✺
03.11.24	Baltimore Ravens - Denver Broncos	41:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWLL
- Indianapolis Colts
NFL
01.12.24	New England Patriots - Indianapolis Colts	24:25 ✺
24.11.24	Indianapolis Colts - Detroit Lions	6:24 ✺
17.11.24	New York Jets - Indianapolis Colts	27:28 ✺
10.11.24	Indianapolis Colts - Buffalo Bills	20:30 ✺
03.11.24	Minnesota Vikings - Indianapolis Colts	21:13 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
11.08.24	Indianapolis Colts - Denver Broncos	30:34
06.10.22	Denver Broncos - Indianapolis Colts	9:12 OT
27.10.19	Indianapolis Colts - Denver Broncos	15:13
14.12.17	Indianapolis Colts - Denver Broncos	13:25
18.09.16	Denver Broncos - Indianapolis Colts	34:20
08.11.15	Indianapolis Colts - Denver Broncos	27:24
11.01.15	Denver Broncos - Indianapolis Colts	13:24

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