Match Info

USA: NFL - PLAY OFFS - FINAL

Date: 11 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Allegiant Stadium (Paradise)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Kansas City Chiefs		San Francisco 49ers

	1	2
	2.1	1.77	Watch
	2.1	1.77
	2.1	1.77	Watch
	2.21	1.7
	2.21	1.75
	2.15	1.82
	2.1	1.75
	2.06	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.1)	1.76 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 47.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kansas City Chiefs
45.3%

San Francisco 49ers
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kansas City Chiefs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

San Francisco 49ers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kansas City Chiefs than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Francisco 49ers than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.4%	0%	46.6%

Kansas City Chiefs - San Francisco 49ers Predictions

Users Predictions: 88 users predict this event. Kansas City will win (votes: 47 - 53.4%). San Francisco will win (votes: 41 - 46.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kansas City: 43% – 63.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:26

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Preview

Neutral location - Allegiant Stadium.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kansas City won 4.

Kansas City in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches San Francisco is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently San Francisco have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Kansas City won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 196-177.

Including matches at home between the teams Kansas City won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 116-116.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kansas City Chiefs
NFL
28.01.24	Baltimore Ravens - Kansas City Chiefs	10:17 ✺
21.01.24	Buffalo Bills - Kansas City Chiefs	24:27 ✺
13.01.24	Kansas City Chiefs - Miami Dolphins	26:7 ✺
07.01.24	Los Angeles Chargers - Kansas City Chiefs	12:13 ✺
31.12.23	Kansas City Chiefs - Cincinnati Bengals	25:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWWWW
- San Francisco 49ers
NFL
28.01.24	San Francisco 49ers - Detroit Lions	34:31 ✺
20.01.24	San Francisco 49ers - Green Bay Packers	24:21 ✺
07.01.24	San Francisco 49ers - Los Angeles Rams	20:21 ✺
31.12.23	Washington Commanders - San Francisco 49ers	10:27 ✺
25.12.23	San Francisco 49ers - Baltimore Ravens	19:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
23.10.22	San Francisco 49ers - Kansas City Chiefs	23:44
14.08.21	San Francisco 49ers - Kansas City Chiefs	16:19
02.02.20	Kansas City Chiefs - San Francisco 49ers	31:20
24.08.19	Kansas City Chiefs - San Francisco 49ers	17:27
23.09.18	Kansas City Chiefs - San Francisco 49ers	38:27
11.08.17	Kansas City Chiefs - San Francisco 49ers	17:27
05.10.14	San Francisco 49ers - Kansas City Chiefs	22:17

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