Match Info

USA: NFL - ROUND 9

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	New Orleans Saints		Chicago Bears

	1	2
	1.22	4.5	Watch
	1.22	4.5
	1.22	4.5	Watch
	1.23	4.47
	1.23	4.47
	1.23	4.6
	1.22	4.45
	1.18	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.44)	4.45 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 42.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Network on TV: CBS

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Current Win Probability

New Orleans Saints
78.5%

Chicago Bears
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.8%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New Orleans Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New Orleans Saints's performance.

Chicago Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chicago Bears might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Orleans Saints than the current prediction. (-19.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New Orleans Saints that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Bears than the current prediction. (+19.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chicago Bears could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

New Orleans Saints - Chicago Bears Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. New Orleans will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). Chicago will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for New Orleans: 52.1% – 90.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:16

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches New Orleans won 5.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

New Orleans could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match New Orleans is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches New Orleans won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 160-102.

Including matches at home between the teams New Orleans won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 41-21.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New Orleans Saints
NFL
29.10.23	Indianapolis Colts - New Orleans Saints	27:38 ✺
19.10.23	New Orleans Saints - Jacksonville Jaguars	24:31 ✺
15.10.23	Houston Texans - New Orleans Saints	20:13 ✺
08.10.23	New England Patriots - New Orleans Saints	0:34 ✺
01.10.23	New Orleans Saints - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	9:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLWL
- Chicago Bears
NFL
29.10.23	Los Angeles Chargers - Chicago Bears	30:13 ✺
22.10.23	Chicago Bears - Las Vegas Raiders	30:12 ✺
15.10.23	Chicago Bears - Minnesota Vikings	13:19 ✺
05.10.23	Washington Commanders - Chicago Bears	20:40 ✺
01.10.23	Chicago Bears - Denver Broncos	28:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
10.01.21	New Orleans Saints - Chicago Bears	21:9
01.11.20	Chicago Bears - New Orleans Saints	23:26 OT
20.10.19	Chicago Bears - New Orleans Saints	25:36
29.10.17	New Orleans Saints - Chicago Bears	20:12
15.12.14	Chicago Bears - New Orleans Saints	15:31
06.10.13	Chicago Bears - New Orleans Saints	18:26

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