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Current Win Probability
Washington Commanders 39.8%
Minnesota Vikings 60.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43%
57%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.5%
52.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Washington Commanders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
Minnesota Vikings has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Commanders than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Washington Commanders, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota Vikings than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Minnesota Vikings, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.6%
0%
71.4%
Washington Commanders - Minnesota Vikings Predictions
Users Predictions:
42 users predict this event. Washington will win (votes: 12 - 28.6%). Minnesota will win (votes: 30 - 71.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Minnesota: 57.7% – 85.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 21:24
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Preview
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 and 2).
Washington has a small chance of recordsim. record (7-10), has currently - 4-4, has a chance of playoffs (19%), has a very small chance of win division (0.1%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (<0.1%), has a very small chance of win league (0.2%).
Minnesota has a small chance of recordsim. record (12-5), has currently - 6-1, has a very good chance of playoffs (96%), has a good chance of win division (93%), has a small chance of 1st-round bye (10%), has a small chance of win league (6%).
This event has quality51, importance34, match rating43. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Washington won 1.
Recent matches Washington is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Minnesota is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Minnesota could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Minnesota will have a small advantage in this match.
Our prediction for today's Minnesota to win the game is with odds 1.61.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Washington won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 156-166.
Including matches at home between the teams Washington won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 94-84.