The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Adelaide Crows 58.9%
Port Adelaide Power 41.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
70.7%
29.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71.5%
28.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adelaide Crows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adelaide Crows's form might have worsened.
Port Adelaide Power has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Port Adelaide Power's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide Crows than the current prediction. (+12.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adelaide Crows, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Adelaide Power than the current prediction. (-12.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Port Adelaide Power, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Adelaide Crows - Port Adelaide Power Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 94:81
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (8 - 20)
02:27, Thiltorpe R. (Behind),
06:39, Thiltorpe R. (Behind),
09:11, Georgiades M. (G),
11:14, Wines O. (G),
16:19, Pedlar L. (G),
18:05, Durdin C. (G),
22:24, Whitlock J. (Behind),
24:56, Wehr J. (Behind),
2nd Quarter (14 - 8)
06:24, Georgiades M. (Behind),
07:03, Rachele J. (Behind),
08:18, Keays B. (G),
10:13, Rachele J. (Behind),
13:25, Sweet J. (Behind),
25:13, Rachele J. (G),
28:33, Butters Z. (G),
3rd Quarter (35 - 21)
00:29, (Behind Rushed),
01:05, Rachele J. (Behind),
02:27, Durdin C. (G),
04:41, Georgiades M. (Behind),
05:29, Wehr J. (Behind),
07:08, Richards J. (Behind),
07:47, Rachele J. (G),
14:37, Georgiades M. (G),
18:51, Soligo J. (Behind),
19:48, Rankine I. (G),
21:55, Visentini D. (G),
26:37, Soligo J. (Behind),
28:38, Taylor Z. (Behind),
29:21, Keays B. (G),
31:58, Murray T. (G),
33:54, Murray T. (G),
4th Quarter (19 - 26)
01:51, Curtin D. (Behind),
02:58, Keays B. (G),
05:10, Thiltorpe R. (G),
06:51, Georgiades M. (G),
13:53, Georgiades M. (Behind),
17:25, Berry J. (G),
20:38, Whitlock J. (G),
27:23, Durdin C. (Behind),
29:25, Berry J. (G),
30:55, Cook B. (G),
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 4.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Adelaide is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 1533:1559. (average 76.7:78).
Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 891:740. (average 81:67.3).