Match Info

AFL - Round 5

Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Adelaide Oval (Adelaide)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL, Fox Footy


	Adelaide Crows		Carlton Blues

	1	2
	1.13	6
	1.15	4.6
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 ↓ (1.23)	5.3 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-31)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adelaide Crows
82.3%

Carlton Blues
17.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

77.3%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adelaide Crows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Carlton Blues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Adelaide Crows - Carlton Blues Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 99:68

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (39 - 46)
02:47, (Behind Rushed),
03:13, Rankine I. (G),
04:19, Ainsworth B. (G),
05:59, Walker T. (Behind),
08:37, McAndrew L. (Behind),
11:43, Cerra A. (G),
12:59, Ainsworth B. (G),
14:18, Evans F. (Behind),
14:53, (Behind Rushed),
16:23, Neal-Bullen A. (G),
17:33, Rachele J. (G),
20:06, Rachele J. (G),
23:37, Walker T. (G),
24:47, McGovern M. (Behind),
25:28, Florent O. (G),
27:29, Hollands E. (G),
28:36, McGovern M. (G),
30:08, McGovern M. (G),
34:30, Rachele J. (G),
36:35, Nankervis L. (Behind),
2nd Quarter (39 - 8)
01:17, Rachele J. (G),
03:32, Dawson J. (G),
04:58, Keays B. (G),
06:31, Keays B. (G),
08:38, Thiltorpe R. (G),
10:50, Thiltorpe R. (Behind),
15:22, Carroll M. (G),
16:36, (Behind Rushed),
20:05, Keays B. (G),
25:25, Cripps P. (Behind),
26:36, Thiltorpe R. (Behind),
27:51, (Behind Rushed),
3rd Quarter (14 - 8)
03:21, (Behind Rushed),
05:46, Cumming I. (G),
11:20, Williams Z. (G),
12:56, Rankine I. (Behind),
14:05, Thiltorpe R. (Behind),
22:50, (Behind Rushed),
30:22, Neal-Bullen A. (G),
4th Quarter (22 - 24)
01:17, Maley F. (G),
03:47, Evans F. (G),
07:04, McKay H. (G),
08:49, (Behind Rushed),
10:17, (Behind Rushed),
11:08, (Behind Rushed),
14:37, (Behind Rushed),
15:35, Hollands O. (G),
17:38, Thiltorpe R. (Behind),
20:45, Hollands O. (Behind),
23:23, (Behind Rushed),
24:21, Maley F. (Behind),
25:27, Soligo J. (G),
27:02, Cripps P. (Behind),
28:59, Rankine I. (G),
30:51, (Behind Rushed),

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 13 and 15)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 4.

In this match, Adelaide is the obvious favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1538:1254. (average 90.5:73.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 546:343. (average 109.2:68.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adelaide Crows
AFL
03.04.26	Adelaide Crows - Fremantle Dockers	76:78 ✺
26.03.26	Geelong Cats - Adelaide Crows	68:60 ✺
20.03.26	Adelaide Crows - Western Bulldogs	88:94 ✺
14.03.26	Collingwood Magpies - Adelaide Crows	79:93 ✺
12.09.25	Adelaide Crows - Hawthorn Hawks	67:101 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLWL
- Carlton Blues
AFL
03.04.26	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Carlton Blues	96:86 ✺
29.03.26	Carlton Blues - Melbourne Demons	77:100 ✺
12.03.26	Carlton Blues - Richmond Tigers	75:71 ✺
05.03.26	Sydney Swans - Carlton Blues	132:69 ✺
21.08.25	Essendon Bombers - Carlton Blues	56:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

AFL
03.05.25	Adelaide Crows - Carlton Blues	110:50
13.04.24	Carlton Blues - Adelaide Crows	98:100
13.04.23	Adelaide Crows - Carlton Blues	118:62
30.07.22	Adelaide Crows - Carlton Blues	84:55
08.05.22	Carlton Blues - Adelaide Crows	116:68
27.06.21	Carlton Blues - Adelaide Crows	83:73
12.09.20	Carlton Blues - Adelaide Crows	56:72

Adelaide Crows - Carlton Blues: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide