Match Info

AFL - Round 3

Date: 26 March 2026, Thursday

Location: GMHBA Stadium (Geelong)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL, Fox Footy


	Geelong Cats		Adelaide Crows

	1	2
	1.23	4.2
	1.2	3.9
			Watch
	1.52	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.5)	3.49 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-26)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Geelong Cats
72.6%

Adelaide Crows
27.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.4%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Geelong Cats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Geelong Cats's performance.

Adelaide Crows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Adelaide Crows might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Geelong Cats - Adelaide Crows Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Geelong will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 95:69

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (28 - 14)
02:04, Blicavs M. (Behind),
02:45, Martin J. (Behind),
05:32, Stewart T. (G),
08:00, Mannagh S. (Behind),
08:59, Henry O. (G),
11:41, Taylor Z. (G),
14:55, Mannagh S. (G),
18:52, Thiltorpe R. (G),
21:16, Berry S. (Behind),
23:53, Cameron J. (Behind),
29:07, Dempsey O. (G),
30:55, Thiltorpe R. (Behind),
2nd Quarter (13 - 19)
02:25, Martin J. (G),
05:20, Rachele J. (G),
15:34, Cumming I. (G),
19:06, (Behind Rushed),
20:44, Cameron J. (Behind),
22:31, Rankine I. (G),
26:49, Martin J. (G),
3rd Quarter (10 - 14)
01:07, Martin J. (Behind),
03:24, Holmes M. (G),
10:46, (Behind Rushed),
11:29, Cook B. (Behind),
16:43, Taylor Z. (G),
23:08, Taylor Z. (G),
24:39, (Behind Rushed),
25:34, Keays B. (Behind),
26:52, Holmes M. (Behind),
4th Quarter (17 - 13)
04:37, Neal-Bullen A. (G),
05:55, Miers G. (Behind),
07:56, (Behind Rushed),
11:54, (Behind Rushed),
13:58, Neale S. (Behind),
15:37, Martin J. (G),
23:54, (Behind Rushed),
26:21, Dempsey O. (G),
30:28, Murray N. (G),
31:45, (Behind Rushed),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 5.

Geelong may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Geelong is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 14 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 1761:1512. (average 88.1:75.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Geelong won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 887:639. (average 98.6:71).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Geelong Cats
AFL
14.03.26	Geelong Cats - Fremantle Dockers	110:100 ✺
06.03.26	Gold Coast Suns - Geelong Cats	125:69 ✺
27.09.25	Geelong Cats - Brisbane Lions	75:122 ✺
19.09.25	Geelong Cats - Hawthorn Hawks	115:85 ✺
05.09.25	Geelong Cats - Brisbane Lions	112:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLWW
- Adelaide Crows
AFL
20.03.26	Adelaide Crows - Western Bulldogs	88:94 ✺
14.03.26	Collingwood Magpies - Adelaide Crows	79:93 ✺
12.09.25	Adelaide Crows - Hawthorn Hawks	67:101 ✺
04.09.25	Adelaide Crows - Collingwood Magpies	55:79 ✺
22.08.25	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Adelaide Crows	100:113 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

AFL
10.04.25	Adelaide Crows - Geelong Cats	100:119
03.08.24	Geelong Cats - Adelaide Crows	90:85
22.03.24	Adelaide Crows - Geelong Cats	77:96
06.05.23	Geelong Cats - Adelaide Crows	98:72
27.05.22	Geelong Cats - Adelaide Crows	97:55
20.03.21	Adelaide Crows - Geelong Cats	103:91
22.08.20	Adelaide Crows - Geelong Cats	37:65

Geelong Cats - Adelaide Crows: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide