Match Info
AFL - Round 6Date: 18 April 2026, SaturdayLocation: Adelaide Oval (Adelaide)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Australia | AFL, Fox Footy |
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Adelaide Crows |
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St Kilda Saints |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.54 |
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2.5 |
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1.5 |
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2.35 |
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Watch |
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.52 ↑ (1.36) |
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2.43 ↓ (3.2) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 171.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
- The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Adelaide Crows 61.5% | St Kilda Saints 38.5% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Adelaide Crows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adelaide Crows's form might have worsened.St Kilda Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St Kilda Saints's recent form is better than expected.Adelaide Crows - St Kilda Saints Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:83 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (8 - 28)
- 01:35, Keays B. (G),
- 04:41, Ryan L. (Behind),
- 05:36, De Koning T. (Behind),
- 07:47, Rankine I. (Behind),
- 09:39, Sharman C. (Behind),
- 10:43, Ryan L. (G),
- 11:47, Wilson D. (G),
- 19:38, Higgins J. (G),
- 20:41, Phillipou M. (Behind),
- 21:46, Pedlar L. (Behind),
- 25:00, Higgins J. (G),
- 2nd Quarter (44 - 16)
- 01:20, Owens M. (G),
- 02:54, Thiltorpe R. (G),
- 05:28, Taylor Z. (Behind),
- 06:34, Butler D. (G),
- 09:07, Rankine I. (G),
- 11:11, Wilson D. (Behind),
- 13:18, Walker T. (G),
- 17:07, Owens M. (Behind),
- 18:15, Owens M. (Behind),
- 19:58, Thiltorpe R. (Behind),
- 22:10, Maley F. (G),
- 23:37, Hill B. (Behind),
- 24:45, Rachele J. (G),
- 26:29, Walker T. (G),
- 32:44, Peatling J. (G),
- 3rd Quarter (33 - 26)
- 01:16, Walker T. (G),
- 02:58, Thiltorpe R. (Behind),
- 04:58, Walker T. (G),
- 06:40, Cook B. (G),
- 07:57, Berry S. (Behind),
- 10:39, Rankine I. (Behind),
- 12:51, Butler D. (G),
- 16:37, Wood M. (G),
- 18:33, Ryan L. (Behind),
- 22:20, Thiltorpe R. (G),
- 24:19, Thiltorpe R. (G),
- 25:54, Higgins J. (G),
- 28:05, Sharman C. (Behind),
- 31:36, De Koning T. (G),
- 4th Quarter (18 - 32)
- 01:19, Thiltorpe R. (Behind),
- 01:53, Keays B. (Behind),
- 03:59, Wanganeen-Milera N. (Behind),
- 04:57, Wilson D. (G),
- 07:20, Neal-Bullen A. (Behind),
- 08:22, Edwards C. (Behind),
- 09:48, Sharman C. (G),
- 11:55, Hill B. (G),
- 17:45, Rankine I. (Behind),
- 20:21, Keays B. (G),
- 24:13, Higgins J. (G),
- 25:33, Sharman C. (Behind),
- 26:07, Neal-Bullen A. (Behind),
- 27:29, Walker T. (G),
- 31:28, Owens M. (G),
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 12 and 14)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 4.Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.Adelaide may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Adelaide could have a small edge in this match.In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1537:932. (average 96.1:58.3).Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1134:699. (average 94.5:58.3).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 15.03.25 | Adelaide Crows - St Kilda Saints | 135:72 | | 13.07.24 | Adelaide Crows - St Kilda Saints | 71:39 | | 13.05.23 | Adelaide Crows - St Kilda Saints | 121:69 | | 21.05.22 | Adelaide Crows - St Kilda Saints | 69:90 | | 12.06.21 | St Kilda Saints - Adelaide Crows | 60:66 | | 20.07.20 | Adelaide Crows - St Kilda Saints | 55:78 | | 03.08.19 | Adelaide Crows - St Kilda Saints | 92:70 |
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