Match Info

AFL - Round 4

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday

Location: Adelaide Oval (Adelaide)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL, Fox Footy


	Adelaide Crows		Fremantle Dockers

	1	2
	2.1	1.75
	2.05	1.65
			Watch
	1.76	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.72)	1.79 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 173.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adelaide Crows
47.6%

Fremantle Dockers
52.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.6%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adelaide Crows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adelaide Crows's form might have worsened.

Fremantle Dockers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fremantle Dockers's recent form is better than expected.

Adelaide Crows - Fremantle Dockers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:88

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (21 - 27)
01:49, Bond H. (Behind),
03:19, Maley F. (G),
07:20, Dudley I. (G),
09:05, Voss P. (G),
10:19, Jackson L. (Behind),
11:03, Dudley I. (Behind),
12:26, Voss P. (Behind),
14:00, Dawson J. (G),
16:17, Neal-Bullen A. (Behind),
17:48, Amiss J. (G),
19:36, Walker T. (Behind),
22:12, Treacy J. (G),
23:28, Berry S. (G),
2nd Quarter (8 - 27)
04:57, Reid M. (Behind),
08:00, Bolton S. (Behind),
08:56, Amiss J. (G),
10:55, Brayshaw A. (G),
12:59, Amiss J. (G),
14:52, Neal-Bullen A. (G),
20:14, Voss P. (G),
22:19, Rankine I. (Behind),
23:27, Rankine I. (Behind),
27:54, Serong C. (Behind),
3rd Quarter (30 - 9)
01:59, Treacy J. (Behind),
03:31, Amiss J. (Behind),
04:46, Voss P. (Behind),
09:42, Amiss J. (G),
12:06, Taylor Z. (G),
18:40, Rachele J. (G),
23:25, Thiltorpe R. (G),
28:24, Cook B. (G),
29:32, Peatling J. (G),
4th Quarter (17 - 15)
02:25, Rankine I. (Behind),
04:51, O'Meara J. (Behind),
06:52, Walker T. (G),
10:25, (Behind Rushed),
12:08, Dawson J. (G),
14:08, Soligo J. (Behind),
14:44, Bolton S. (G),
15:55, Treacy J. (Behind),
23:29, Treacy J. (G),
27:52, Voss P. (Behind),
31:36, Keays B. (Behind),
32:29, Borlase J. (Behind),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 1.

Fremantle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1359:1249. (average 68:62.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 878:720. (average 73.2:60).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adelaide Crows
AFL
26.03.26	Geelong Cats - Adelaide Crows	68:60 ✺
20.03.26	Adelaide Crows - Western Bulldogs	88:94 ✺
14.03.26	Collingwood Magpies - Adelaide Crows	79:93 ✺
12.09.25	Adelaide Crows - Hawthorn Hawks	67:101 ✺
04.09.25	Adelaide Crows - Collingwood Magpies	55:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWLL
- Fremantle Dockers
AFL
28.03.26	Fremantle Dockers - Richmond Tigers	103:43 ✺
21.03.26	Fremantle Dockers - Melbourne Demons	118:70 ✺
14.03.26	Geelong Cats - Fremantle Dockers	110:100 ✺
06.09.25	Fremantle Dockers - Gold Coast Suns	79:80 ✺
24.08.25	Western Bulldogs - Fremantle Dockers	97:112 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

AFL
25.04.25	Fremantle Dockers - Adelaide Crows	85:67
29.03.24	Fremantle Dockers - Adelaide Crows	69:34
07.04.23	Adelaide Crows - Fremantle Dockers	111:72
20.03.22	Adelaide Crows - Fremantle Dockers	82:83
17.04.21	Adelaide Crows - Fremantle Dockers	72:84
04.07.20	Adelaide Crows - Fremantle Dockers	34:54
05.05.19	Adelaide Crows - Fremantle Dockers	51:34

Adelaide Crows - Fremantle Dockers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide