Match Info
AFL - Round 1Date: 12 March 2026, ThursdayLocation: Melbourne Cricket Ground (Melbourne)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | AFL, Fox Footy |
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Carlton Blues |
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Richmond Tigers |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.33 |
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3.35 |
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1.28 |
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3.25 |
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 Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.31 ↓
(1.36) |
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3.3 ↑
(3.2) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 169.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-18)
- The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Carlton Blues
71.7% | Richmond Tigers
28.3% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Carlton Blues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Richmond Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Carlton Blues - Richmond Tigers Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Carlton will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Richmond will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Carlton (votes: 1 - 50%). Richmond (votes: 1 - 50%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 94:76 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (40 - 21)
- 02:08, McKay H. (Behind),
- 02:51, McKay H. (G),
- 05:27, Pittonet M. (G),
- 06:34, McGovern M. (G),
- 08:27, Green S. (G),
- 09:40, Kemp B. (G),
- 15:03, McGovern M. (G),
- 16:54, Smith J. (Behind),
- 18:01, Mansell R. (G),
- 21:05, (Behind Rushed),
- 22:49, Hewett G. (G),
- 26:42, O'Keeffe H. (Behind),
- 29:33, Lynch T. (G),
- 32:19, Lynch T. (Behind),
- 33:38, (Behind Rushed),
- 35:09, Lynch T. (Behind),
- 2nd Quarter (23 - 15)
- 01:03, Cripps P. (Behind),
- 01:51, McKay H. (Behind),
- 03:06, Armstrong H. (Behind),
- 04:27, Green S. (G),
- 06:27, (Behind Rushed),
- 08:53, McKay H. (G),
- 10:19, Carroll M. (Behind),
- 11:59, Lalor S. (G),
- 15:33, Kemp B. (Behind),
- 16:22, Hayward W. (G),
- 20:51, Faull J. (Behind),
- 24:03, Cripps P. (Behind),
- 26:23, Lord C. (G),
- 3rd Quarter (4 - 18)
- 01:14, Fogarty L. (Behind),
- 02:36, Pittonet M. (Behind),
- 03:41, Lalor S. (G),
- 06:06, (Behind Rushed),
- 08:01, Lalor S. (Behind),
- 10:26, Mansell R. (G),
- 20:20, (Behind Rushed),
- 21:27, Campbell S. (Behind),
- 22:39, Hollands E. (Behind),
- 24:38, Lynch T. (Behind),
- 28:36, Cripps P. (Behind),
- 30:18, Lynch T. (Behind),
- 4th Quarter (8 - 17)
- 00:58, (Behind Rushed),
- 05:28, Short J. (G),
- 07:01, (Behind Rushed),
- 08:08, Lynch T. (Behind),
- 10:23, Lynch T. (Behind),
- 14:40, Lynch T. (Behind),
- 18:02, Chesser C. (Behind),
- 20:18, Williams Z. (G),
- 23:14, Faull J. (Behind),
- 24:43, Lynch T. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carlton won 2.Richmond may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Carlton is seen as the favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Carlton won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 14 matches, and goals 1634:1829. (average 81.7:91.5).Including home matches between the teams, Carlton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 519:597. (average 86.5:99.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 13.03.25 | Richmond Tigers - Carlton Blues | 82:69 | | 30.06.24 | Richmond Tigers - Carlton Blues | 70:131 | | 14.03.24 | Carlton Blues - Richmond Tigers | 86:81 | | 16.03.23 | Richmond Tigers - Carlton Blues | 58:58 | | 16.06.22 | Richmond Tigers - Carlton Blues | 81:66 | | 17.03.22 | Carlton Blues - Richmond Tigers | 101:76 | | 18.03.21 | Richmond Tigers - Carlton Blues | 105:80 |
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