Match Info
AFL - Round 21Date: 2 August 2025, SaturdayLocation: People First Stadium (Gold Coast)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | AFL, Fox Sports 503 |
 United-kingdom | TNT Sports 1 |
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Gold Coast Suns |
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Richmond Tigers |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.03 |
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15 |
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 |
1.03 |
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8 |
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 |
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 Watch |
 |
1.04 |
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10 |
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 |
1.02 |
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11.1 |
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 |
1.01 |
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9.5 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.03 ↓
(1.05) |
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10.72 ↑
(7.25) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 167.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-53)
- The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Gold Coast Suns
91.3% | Richmond Tigers
8.7% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Gold Coast Suns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Richmond Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Gold Coast Suns - Richmond Tigers Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Gold Coast will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Richmond will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gold Coast (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Gold Coast (1.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -19.5 Points, OT - Gold Coast (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -19.5 Points - Gold Coast (1.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Gold Coast (votes: 5 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 111:58 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (25 - 1)
- 02:28, Farrar J. (G),
- 11:05, King B. (G),
- 16:14, Rowell M. (Behind),
- 17:30, Read E. (G),
- 19:46, King B. (G),
- 26:34, (Behind Rushed),
- 2nd Quarter (16 - 4)
- 02:23, Long B. (G),
- 03:52, Noble J. (Behind),
- 05:24, Read E. (Behind),
- 08:08, (Behind Rushed),
- 10:10, Vlastuin N. (Behind),
- 16:22, Read E. (Behind),
- 21:17, Trezise J. (Behind),
- 24:14, Mansell R. (Behind),
- 25:19, (Behind Rushed),
- 26:35, Ainsworth B. (G),
- 3rd Quarter (34 - 9)
- 01:02, Long B. (Behind),
- 03:05, Armstrong H. (G),
- 05:38, Humphrey B. (G),
- 10:19, (Behind Rushed),
- 13:08, Read E. (G),
- 15:19, Campbell S. (Behind),
- 17:52, Humphrey B. (G),
- 20:21, Farrar J. (G),
- 21:40, Prestia D. (Behind),
- 23:33, Farrar J. (Behind),
- 24:39, Mansell R. (Behind),
- 27:42, King B. (G),
- 30:55, (Behind Rushed),
- 4th Quarter (32 - 9)
- 01:25, Hotton T. (Behind),
- 03:30, Ainsworth B. (Behind),
- 06:10, Miller T. (Behind),
- 07:50, Humphrey B. (G),
- 10:00, King B. (G),
- 12:29, Armstrong H. (Behind),
- 13:54, Hopper J. (Behind),
- 15:22, Andrew M. (G),
- 17:24, Long B. (G),
- 26:50, Mansell R. (G),
- 29:19, Fiorini B. (G),
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 16).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gold Coast won 4.Gold Coast is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).Richmond has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). In this match, Gold Coast is the undisputed favorite.In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Gold Coast won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 994:1213. (average 66.3:80.9).Including home matches between the teams, Gold Coast won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 531:661. (average 75.9:94.4).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 19.04.25 | Richmond Tigers - Gold Coast Suns | 80:69 | | 24.08.24 | Richmond Tigers - Gold Coast Suns | 66:94 | | 09.03.24 | Gold Coast Suns - Richmond Tigers | 99:60 | | 30.04.23 | Richmond Tigers - Gold Coast Suns | 48:72 | | 09.07.22 | Gold Coast Suns - Richmond Tigers | 94:92 | | 01.07.21 | Gold Coast Suns - Richmond Tigers | 77:67 | | 17.08.20 | Richmond Tigers - Gold Coast Suns | 53:32 |
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