Match Info
AFL - Round 20Date: 24 July 2026, FridayLocation: Marvel Stadium (Melbourne)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Australia | AFL TV |
Canada | TSN 2 |
New-zealand | Sky Sport 8 |
United-kingdom | HBO Max, TNT Sports 3 |
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Carlton Blues |
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Gold Coast Suns |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.65 |
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2.25 |
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1.62 |
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2.15 |
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Watch |
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1.65 |
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2.2 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.64 ↓ (1.68) |
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2.2 (2.2) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 167.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
- The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Carlton Blues 57.3% | Gold Coast Suns 42.7% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Carlton Blues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Gold Coast Suns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlton Blues than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gold Coast Suns than the current prediction. (+2.2%)Carlton Blues - Gold Coast Suns Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:81 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (22 - 20)
- 01:17, (Behind Rushed),
- 02:05, Walter J. (G),
- 04:20, Humphrey B. (G),
- 08:14, Patterson D. (G),
- 10:05, King B. (Behind),
- 11:33, Hewett G. (Behind),
- 12:50, Ainsworth B. (Behind),
- 13:26, Hayward W. (G),
- 15:43, Byrne T. (G),
- 17:50, Evans F. (G),
- 25:01, (Behind Rushed),
- 26:02, Ainsworth B. (Behind),
- 2nd Quarter (27 - 26)
- 00:42, King B. (G),
- 01:50, Jeffrey J. (Behind),
- 06:23, Anderson N. (G),
- 07:42, Evans F. (Behind),
- 09:24, Byrne T. (G),
- 15:24, Petracca C. (Behind),
- 17:50, Young L. (G),
- 19:10, Hewett G. (G),
- 21:42, Hayward W. (G),
- 24:26, Jeffrey J. (G),
- 26:28, Young L. (Behind),
- 28:09, Kemp B. (Behind),
- 29:01, King B. (G),
- 3rd Quarter (27 - 18)
- 01:27, Humphrey B. (G),
- 04:21, Cripps P. (Behind),
- 05:29, Jeffrey J. (G),
- 13:42, Cripps P. (G),
- 17:24, Byrne T. (G),
- 19:21, McGovern M. (G),
- 22:24, Jeffrey J. (G),
- 23:57, Byrne T. (Behind),
- 25:10, Hewett G. (G),
- 29:51, Byrne T. (Behind),
- 4th Quarter (34 - 33)
- 00:44, Humphrey B. (G),
- 01:53, Petracca C. (Behind),
- 04:30, Walter J. (G),
- 06:19, Young L. (Behind),
- 07:06, Addinsall B. (G),
- 09:33, Ainsworth B. (G),
- 12:23, Hewett G. (G),
- 13:47, Long B. (Behind),
- 14:37, Evans F. (Behind),
- 17:34, McGovern M. (G),
- 23:43, Hayward W. (G),
- 24:53, Hayward W. (Behind),
- 25:32, Long B. (G),
- 27:35, (Behind Rushed),
- 28:26, Evans F. (G),
- 29:48, King B. (G),
- 32:13, King B. (Behind),
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 12 and 14)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carlton won 3.Recent performances by Carlton have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).Gold Coast has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0). In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Carlton won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1550:1425. (average 81.6:75).Including home matches between the teams, Carlton won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 801:714. (average 89:79.3).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 09.08.25 | Carlton Blues - Gold Coast Suns | 74:93 | | 24.05.24 | Carlton Blues - Gold Coast Suns | 102:73 | | 19.08.23 | Gold Coast Suns - Carlton Blues | 87:91 | | 17.06.23 | Carlton Blues - Gold Coast Suns | 120:61 | | 10.04.22 | Gold Coast Suns - Carlton Blues | 92:62 | | 06.08.21 | Carlton Blues - Gold Coast Suns | 57:76 | | 10.04.21 | Gold Coast Suns - Carlton Blues | 59:70 |
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