Match Info

AFL - Round 20

Date: 27 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Melbourne Cricket Ground (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL, Fox Footy
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 2


	Richmond Tigers		Collingwood Magpies

	1	2
	13	1.04
	7.2	1.04
			Watch
	9	1.05
	9	1.05
	10	1.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.64 ↑ (9.5)	1.05 ↓ (1.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 155.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-46)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Richmond Tigers
9.8%

Collingwood Magpies
90.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

10%

90%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Richmond Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Collingwood Magpies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Richmond Tigers - Collingwood Magpies Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Richmond will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Collingwood will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Collingwood (1.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -19.5 Points, OT - Collingwood (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -19.5 Points - Collingwood (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Collingwood Magpies will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Collingwood (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 55:101

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (13 - 21)
05:02, Membrey T. (G),
08:18, (Behind Rushed),
10:09, Trezise J. (G),
12:00, Mihocek B. (G),
16:05, Long N. (Behind),
22:57, Green S. (Behind),
23:40, Allan E. (Behind),
25:45, Daicos N. (G),
30:07, Sims T. (G),
2nd Quarter (15 - 27)
01:38, Trainor L. (Behind),
03:52, Hotton T. (G),
06:02, McStay D. (Behind),
07:25, Mihocek B. (G),
10:30, Green S. (G),
12:14, (Behind Rushed),
13:01, Daicos N. (G),
16:42, Faull J. (Behind),
18:18, McStay D. (G),
24:40, Hoskin-Elliott W. (G),
27:04, (Behind Rushed),
29:19, (Behind Rushed),
3rd Quarter (19 - 34)
00:39, Green S. (G),
03:27, Balta N. (G),
05:16, Membrey T. (G),
08:13, Membrey T. (Behind),
10:53, Schultz L. (Behind),
14:29, (Behind Rushed),
16:50, Hoskin-Elliott W. (G),
19:29, Daicos N. (G),
21:00, Long N. (Behind),
23:00, Schultz L. (G),
25:09, Mansell R. (Behind),
26:13, Elliott J. (G),
29:29, Hotton T. (G),
4th Quarter (10 - 11)
01:16, Mihocek B. (Behind),
02:41, Balta N. (Behind),
05:04, Houston D. (G),
07:19, Faull J. (G),
10:03, (Behind Rushed),
11:01, Membrey T. (Behind),
12:15, Mansell R. (Behind),
18:20, Faull J. (Behind),
20:44, Daicos N. (Behind),
22:06, Alger J. (Behind),
24:19, Schultz L. (Behind),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Richmond won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Collingwood may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Collingwood is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Richmond won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 1631:1665. (average 81.6:83.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Richmond won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 909:1044. (average 82.6:94.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Richmond Tigers
AFL
19.07.25	West Coast Eagles - Richmond Tigers	56:105 ✺
12.07.25	Richmond Tigers - Essendon Bombers	46:37 ✺
05.07.25	Geelong Cats - Richmond Tigers	124:52 ✺
29.06.25	Richmond Tigers - Adelaide Crows	54:122 ✺
22.06.25	Western Bulldogs - Richmond Tigers	135:56 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLLL
- Collingwood Magpies
AFL
20.07.25	Collingwood Magpies - Fremantle Dockers	78:79 ✺
11.07.25	Gold Coast Suns - Collingwood Magpies	69:63 ✺
04.07.25	Carlton Blues - Collingwood Magpies	59:115 ✺
28.06.25	Collingwood Magpies - West Coast Eagles	88:59 ✺
21.06.25	Collingwood Magpies - St Kilda Saints	108:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

AAMI Community Series
26.02.25	Richmond Tigers - Collingwood Magpies	49:132
AFL
27.07.24	Collingwood Magpies - Richmond Tigers	93:67
AAMI Community Series
27.02.24	Collingwood Magpies - Richmond Tigers	76:46
AFL
31.03.23	Collingwood Magpies - Richmond Tigers	63:49
06.05.22	Richmond Tigers - Collingwood Magpies	113:86
11.07.21	Richmond Tigers - Collingwood Magpies	71:87
AAMI Community Series
05.03.21	Collingwood Magpies - Richmond Tigers	74:80

Richmond Tigers - Collingwood Magpies: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide