Match Info
AFL - Round 23Date: 14 August 2026, FridayLocation: Melbourne Cricket Ground (Melbourne)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Australia | AFL TV |
Canada | fubo Sports Network |
United-kingdom | HBO Max, TNT Sports 1 |
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Richmond Tigers |
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St Kilda Saints |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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3.75 |
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1.28 |
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3 |
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1.32 |
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Watch |
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3.2 |
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1.34 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.32 ↓ (6.25) |
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1.31 ↑ (1.12) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 166.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-21)
- The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Richmond Tigers 28.4% | St Kilda Saints 71.6% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Richmond Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Richmond Tigers's performance.St Kilda Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and St Kilda Saints might be facing challenges that affect their performance.Richmond Tigers - St Kilda Saints Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Richmond will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). St Kilda will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 73:94 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (10 - 20)
- 04:41, (Behind Rushed),
- 05:07, Hall M. (G),
- 07:32, (Behind Rushed),
- 08:11, Taranto T. (Behind),
- 14:22, Higgins J. (Behind),
- 16:29, (Behind Rushed),
- 18:41, Owens M. (G),
- 19:53, Ross J. (G),
- 22:26, Owens M. (G),
- 26:47, Lalor S. (Behind),
- 2nd Quarter (13 - 28)
- 01:01, Marshall R. (G),
- 05:02, Sharman C. (G),
- 07:30, Owens M. (G),
- 09:50, (Behind Rushed),
- 11:09, Lefau M. (G),
- 15:45, Windhager M. (G),
- 16:57, (Behind Rushed),
- 19:21, Taranto T. (G),
- 20:50, (Behind Rushed),
- 25:36, Owens M. (Behind),
- 32:18, Higgins J. (Behind),
- 3rd Quarter (4 - 27)
- 02:41, Garcia H. (G),
- 08:07, Higgins J. (Behind),
- 09:48, (Behind Rushed),
- 12:12, Sharman C. (Behind),
- 14:15, Owens M. (G),
- 16:52, Butler D. (G),
- 20:00, (Behind Rushed),
- 21:17, Prestia D. (Behind),
- 22:13, Lynch T. (Behind),
- 25:51, Wilson D. (Behind),
- 28:18, Owens M. (G),
- 4th Quarter (18 - 19)
- 00:33, Higgins J. (G),
- 02:24, Lynch T. (G),
- 06:14, Grlj S. (G),
- 16:57, Butler D. (G),
- 20:01, Owens M. (Behind),
- 22:46, Sharman C. (G),
- 24:13, Lefau M. (G),
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 11).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Richmond won 0.Richmond is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).St Kilda has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). In this match, St Kilda is a strong favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Richmond won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1568:1621. (average 78.4:81.1).Including home matches between the teams, Richmond won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 726:688. (average 72.6:68.8).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 17.05.26 | St Kilda Saints - Richmond Tigers | 109:73 | | 08.08.25 | Richmond Tigers - St Kilda Saints | 52:56 | | 29.03.25 | St Kilda Saints - Richmond Tigers | 135:53 | | 11.08.24 | Richmond Tigers - St Kilda Saints | 51:99 | | 07.04.24 | Richmond Tigers - St Kilda Saints | 60:67 | | 13.08.23 | St Kilda Saints - Richmond Tigers | 93:57 | | 17.06.23 | Richmond Tigers - St Kilda Saints | 90:70 |
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