Match Info
AFLDate: 5 March 2026, ThursdayLocation: Sydney Cricket Ground (Sydney)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | Fox Footy |
 United-kingdom | TNT Sports 2 |
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Sydney Swans |
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Carlton Blues |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 169.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-19)
- The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sydney Swans
73.4% | Carlton Blues
26.6% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Sydney Swans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Carlton Blues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Sydney Swans - Carlton Blues Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Sydney will win (votes: 4 - 100%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sydney (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 95:76 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (3 - 14)
- 00:54, Kemp B. (Behind),
- 05:35, Curnow C. (Behind),
- 06:08, Kemp B. (G),
- 07:28, Curnow C. (Behind),
- 08:07, Hayward W. (G),
- 09:30, Williams Z. (Behind),
- 26:28, Amartey J. (Behind),
- 2nd Quarter (15 - 14)
- 01:52, Warner C. (Behind),
- 06:44, Hayward W. (Behind),
- 08:57, Amartey J. (G),
- 12:16, Mills C. (Behind),
- 14:13, Papley T. (Behind),
- 17:30, Rosas Jnr. M. (G),
- 22:25, Ainsworth B. (G),
- 26:52, Pittonet M. (G),
- 29:10, Hayward W. (Behind),
- 3rd Quarter (75 - 26)
- 01:28, Moir A. (G),
- 03:17, Pittonet M. (G),
- 05:17, McInerney J. (G),
- 07:21, McInerney J. (G),
- 09:26, McDonald L. (G),
- 11:28, Cripps P. (Behind),
- 12:38, Heeney I. (G),
- 15:32, Curnow C. (G),
- 17:34, Amartey J. (G),
- 22:26, Hollands O. (G),
- 25:21, Roberts M. (G),
- 28:25, McInerney J. (G),
- 30:20, Pittonet M. (G),
- 31:34, Gulden E. (Behind),
- 32:32, Roberts M. (G),
- 33:39, Heeney I. (G),
- 35:05, McInerney J. (Behind),
- 36:43, Papley T. (G),
- 38:31, Curnow C. (G),
- 39:49, Warner C. (Behind),
- 40:56, Lord C. (Behind),
- 4th Quarter (39 - 15)
- 01:27, Grundy B. (G),
- 05:54, Warner C. (G),
- 07:46, McKay H. (G),
- 11:09, Amartey J. (G),
- 13:00, (Behind Rushed),
- 15:34, Gulden E. (Behind),
- 17:46, Sheldrick A. (G),
- 20:43, Curnow C. (G),
- 21:53, Ainsworth B. (G),
- 24:07, Reidy L. (Behind),
- 25:32, Rowbottom J. (G),
- 26:38, Warner C. (Behind),
- 30:44, (Behind Rushed),
- 31:26, Roberts M. (Behind),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 4. In this match, Sydney is seen as the favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1829:1327. (average 91.5:66.4).Including home matches between the teams, Sydney won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1229:783. (average 94.5:60.2).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 16.05.25 | Sydney Swans - Carlton Blues | 78:62 | | 17.05.24 | Sydney Swans - Carlton Blues | 117:65 | | 08.09.23 | Carlton Blues - Sydney Swans | 74:68 | | 26.05.23 | Sydney Swans - Carlton Blues | 77:51 | | AAMI Community Series | | | 03.03.23 | Sydney Swans - Carlton Blues | 97:54 | | AFL | | | 20.05.22 | Carlton Blues - Sydney Swans | 102:87 | | 30.05.21 | Sydney Swans - Carlton Blues | 100:78 |
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