Match Info
AFL - Round 1Date: 13 March 2026, FridayLocation: Melbourne Cricket Ground (Melbourne)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | AFL, Fox Footy |
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Essendon Bombers |
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Hawthorn Hawks |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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5.5 |
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1.15 |
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3.9 |
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1.2 |
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 Watch |
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3.9 |
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1.21 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.43 ↑
(4) |
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1.19 ↓
(1.25) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 182.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-28)
- The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Essendon Bombers
21.1% | Hawthorn Hawks
78.9% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Essendon Bombers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Hawthorn Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Essendon Bombers - Hawthorn Hawks Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Hawthorn will win (votes: 1 - 100%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hawthorn (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:105 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (27 - 34)
- 00:58, Gunston J. (G),
- 02:43, Newcombe J. (Behind),
- 04:21, Durham S. (G),
- 06:01, Macdonald C. (G),
- 08:19, Caldwell J. (Behind),
- 08:56, Weddle J. (G),
- 10:19, Duursma X. (G),
- 13:14, Reeves N. (G),
- 14:57, Gunston J. (Behind),
- 16:10, Ginnivan J. (Behind),
- 18:42, Sharp D. (G),
- 20:35, Macdonald C. (G),
- 22:28, Langford K. (Behind),
- 26:51, Durham S. (G),
- 28:46, (Behind Rushed),
- 29:27, Fiorini B. (Behind),
- 2nd Quarter (12 - 49)
- 00:58, Watson N. (Behind),
- 03:00, Gunston J. (G),
- 05:22, Moore D. (Behind),
- 07:23, Merrett Z. (G),
- 09:08, Lewis M. (Behind),
- 09:38, Mackenzie C. (Behind),
- 11:16, Sharp D. (G),
- 14:45, Chol M. (Behind),
- 16:08, Chol M. (G),
- 21:12, Amon K. (Behind),
- 22:18, Watson N. (G),
- 24:31, D'Ambrosio M. (G),
- 27:27, Gunston J. (G),
- 29:11, Chol M. (Behind),
- 31:31, Reeves N. (G),
- 32:44, Watson N. (G),
- 3rd Quarter (20 - 39)
- 01:46, Merrett Z. (Behind),
- 03:56, Fiorini B. (G),
- 06:00, Gunston J. (G),
- 07:33, Moore D. (G),
- 08:54, Caddy N. (G),
- 10:52, Nash C. (G),
- 11:57, Macdonald C. (Behind),
- 14:09, Weddle J. (G),
- 16:12, Ginnivan J. (G),
- 18:07, Caddy N. (Behind),
- 20:57, Weddle J. (Behind),
- 23:04, Weddle J. (Behind),
- 24:40, Newcombe J. (G),
- 26:50, El Achkar H. (G),
- 4th Quarter (24 - 23)
- 02:17, Watson N. (Behind),
- 04:34, Ginnivan J. (Behind),
- 06:19, Gunston J. (G),
- 08:09, Chol M. (Behind),
- 12:02, Ginnivan J. (Behind),
- 14:43, Duursma X. (G),
- 16:42, Perkins A. (G),
- 18:03, Macdonald C. (Behind),
- 19:20, Wright P. (G),
- 21:05, Caldwell J. (G),
- 25:37, Watson N. (G),
- 28:35, Watson N. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Essendon won 4.Essendon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Hawthorn is the team to beat.In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Essendon won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1440:1515. (average 84.7:89.1).Including home matches between the teams, Essendon won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 879:974. (average 79.9:88.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 14.03.25 | Hawthorn Hawks - Essendon Bombers | 111:85 | | 15.03.24 | Essendon Bombers - Hawthorn Hawks | 107:83 | | 19.03.23 | Hawthorn Hawks - Essendon Bombers | 65:124 | | 07.05.22 | Essendon Bombers - Hawthorn Hawks | 108:81 | | 20.06.21 | Hawthorn Hawks - Essendon Bombers | 73:86 | | 20.03.21 | Essendon Bombers - Hawthorn Hawks | 91:92 | | 27.08.20 | Hawthorn Hawks - Essendon Bombers | 71:87 |
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