Match Info
AFL - Round 17Date: 5 July 2026, SundayLocation: Marvel Stadium (Melbourne)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | AFL TV, Fox Footy |
 Canada | fubo Sports Network, TSN 5 |
 Usa | Fox Soccer Plus |
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Essendon Bombers |
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St Kilda Saints |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
4.35 |
|
1.22 |
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 |
4.20 |
125.00 |
1.19 |
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 |
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 Watch |
 |
4.40 |
101.00 |
1.20 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.32 ↓
(4.35) |
75.33
|
1.2 ↓
(1.22) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 176.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-27)
- The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Essendon Bombers
21.5% | Draw
1.2% | St Kilda Saints
77.2% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Essendon Bombers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)St Kilda Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Essendon Bombers - St Kilda Saints Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:102 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (13 - 34)
- 00:37, Wilson D. (G),
- 02:12, Caminiti A. (Behind),
- 04:32, Day-Wicks A. (G),
- 10:57, Marshall R. (G),
- 13:16, Wanganeen-Milera N. (G),
- 15:18, Henry L. (Behind),
- 21:36, Wright P. (G),
- 23:28, Ryan L. (Behind),
- 24:26, Higgins J. (G),
- 27:25, Wilson D. (Behind),
- 28:21, Prior J. (Behind),
- 30:08, Marshall R. (G),
- 2nd Quarter (8 - 52)
- 01:29, Caminiti A. (G),
- 03:37, Hill B. (G),
- 05:38, Durham S. (Behind),
- 06:15, Owens M. (G),
- 08:13, Marshall R. (Behind),
- 13:51, Caminiti A. (G),
- 16:04, Higgins J. (G),
- 22:02, Henry L. (G),
- 23:24, Higgins J. (Behind),
- 25:19, Hall M. (G),
- 26:29, Garcia H. (G),
- 28:07, Wanganeen-Milera N. (Behind),
- 29:14, Parish D. (Behind),
- 30:05, Caddy N. (G),
- 33:32, (Behind Rushed),
- 3rd Quarter (8 - 8)
- 05:09, Wilson D. (G),
- 06:52, Caddy N. (Behind),
- 11:08, Sharman C. (Behind),
- 12:04, Caddy N. (G),
- 19:36, Higgins J. (Behind),
- 21:09, Caddy N. (Behind),
- 4th Quarter (21 - 23)
- 03:05, Wright P. (Behind),
- 05:48, Caddy N. (G),
- 07:29, McKay B. (G),
- 08:45, (Behind Rushed),
- 10:25, Hall M. (Behind),
- 12:54, Sharman C. (G),
- 16:06, Ryan L. (G),
- 18:10, Robey S. (G),
- 19:38, (Behind Rushed),
- 19:58, Caddy N. (Behind),
- 21:32, (Behind Rushed),
- 22:20, Ryan L. (G),
- 25:00, Ryan L. (Behind),
- 25:08, Hall M. (Behind),
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 and 14).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Essendon won 1.Essendon is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).St Kilda has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Essendon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Essendon has had a series of away games. In this match, St Kilda is considered a favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Essendon won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1505:1646. (average 75.3:82.3).Including home matches between the teams, Essendon won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 813:902. (average 81.3:90.2).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 15.08.25 | Essendon Bombers - St Kilda Saints | 75:77 | | 27.07.24 | St Kilda Saints - Essendon Bombers | 108:55 | | 30.03.24 | Essendon Bombers - St Kilda Saints | 71:67 | | 01.04.23 | St Kilda Saints - Essendon Bombers | 92:74 | | AAMI Community Series | | | 03.03.23 | St Kilda Saints - Essendon Bombers | 67:32 | | AFL | | | 17.06.22 | St Kilda Saints - Essendon Bombers | 72:107 | | AAMI Community Series | | | 05.03.22 | Essendon Bombers - St Kilda Saints | 71:82 |
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