The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Geelong Cats 77.2%
North Melbourne Kangaroos 22.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
82.7%
17.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Geelong Cats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Geelong Cats's form might have worsened.
North Melbourne Kangaroos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting North Melbourne Kangaroos's recent form is better than expected.
Geelong Cats - North Melbourne Kangaroos Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 107:79
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (27 - 20)
01:29, Martin J. (G),
03:15, Bowes J. (G),
05:26, Mannagh S. (G),
09:11, Larkey N. (Behind),
12:39, Neale S. (G),
14:34, Darling J. (G),
15:46, Cameron J. (Behind),
17:55, Cameron J. (Behind),
20:37, Mannagh S. (Behind),
27:12, McKercher C. (G),
29:10, Curtis P. (Behind),
30:46, Curtis P. (G),
2nd Quarter (9 - 15)
02:17, (Behind Rushed),
04:33, Dempsey O. (Behind),
05:46, Trembath C. (Behind),
08:26, Dangerfield P. (G),
10:36, (Behind Rushed),
15:18, Duursma Z. (G),
19:04, Cameron J. (Behind),
20:56, Dovaston L. (Behind),
21:39, Duursma Z. (G),
3rd Quarter (43 - 27)
00:27, McKercher C. (G),
03:42, Xerri T. (Behind),
04:49, Cameron J. (G),
07:26, Dempsey O. (G),
08:32, Curtis P. (Behind),
11:43, Larkey N. (G),
19:55, Duursma Z. (G),
22:48, Mannagh S. (G),
25:14, Holmes M. (G),
26:58, (Behind Rushed),
27:40, Holmes M. (G),
29:26, Simpkin J. (G),
32:08, Neale S. (G),
33:16, Close B. (Behind),
34:17, Neale S. (G),
4th Quarter (56 - 24)
00:38, Darling J. (G),
01:50, Mannagh S. (G),
04:31, Martin J. (G),
07:49, Mannagh S. (G),
10:49, Cameron J. (G),
12:35, Worpel J. (G),
15:48, Sheezel H. (G),
17:49, Edwards M. (G),
19:30, Humphries L. (G),
23:02, Henry O. (G),
28:23, Henry O. (Behind),
29:33, Simpkin J. (G),
31:39, Darling J. (G),
33:09, Cameron J. (G),
35:06, Smith B. (Behind),
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 5.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Geelong may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Geelong is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2046:1386. (average 102.3:69.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Geelong won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1227:793. (average 102.3:66.1).
Last Results with these Odds
North Melbourne Kangaroos - the odds 5.5 are the expected chance of winning is 17.29%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
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