Match Info
AFL - Round 6Date: 17 April 2026, FridayLocation: GMHBA Stadium (Geelong)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | AFL, Fox Footy |
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Geelong Cats |
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Western Bulldogs |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.54 |
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2.5 |
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1.5 |
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2.35 |
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 Watch |
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1.54 |
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2.44 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↓
(1.8) |
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2.43 ↑
(2.02) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 184.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)
- The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Geelong Cats
61.4% | Western Bulldogs
38.6% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Geelong Cats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Geelong Cats's performance.Western Bulldogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Western Bulldogs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.Geelong Cats - Western Bulldogs Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 98:87 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (40 - 8)
- 00:51, Davidson S. (Behind),
- 06:10, Dangerfield P. (G),
- 08:03, Naughton A. (G),
- 11:02, Cameron J. (G),
- 15:44, Dempsey O. (G),
- 19:45, Baker O. (Behind),
- 20:49, Martin J. (Behind),
- 21:32, Cameron J. (G),
- 23:37, Dangerfield P. (Behind),
- 24:36, Neale S. (G),
- 28:06, Neale S. (Behind),
- 29:35, Mullin O. (Behind),
- 30:40, Martin J. (G),
- 2nd Quarter (38 - 13)
- 00:18, Cameron J. (G),
- 01:54, Baker O. (G),
- 05:56, Cameron J. (G),
- 12:41, Cameron J. (G),
- 19:42, Cameron J. (G),
- 20:56, Henry O. (G),
- 23:58, Wiltshire O. (Behind),
- 25:23, Lewis W. (G),
- 29:02, Dangerfield P. (Behind),
- 31:16, Cameron J. (G),
- 32:43, Lobb R. (Behind),
- 3rd Quarter (11 - 26)
- 02:47, Naughton A. (G),
- 04:17, Bruhn T. (Behind),
- 06:41, (Behind Rushed),
- 08:15, Bowes J. (Behind),
- 09:20, Dangerfield P. (G),
- 12:09, Dangerfield P. (Behind),
- 14:35, Baker O. (G),
- 18:44, Bowes J. (Behind),
- 21:03, Baker O. (Behind),
- 22:17, Croft J. (G),
- 24:20, Bowes J. (Behind),
- 27:52, Naughton A. (G),
- 4th Quarter (42 - 9)
- 02:10, (Behind Rushed),
- 04:31, Croft J. (G),
- 06:20, (Behind Rushed),
- 07:16, Cameron J. (Behind),
- 10:28, Mullin O. (Behind),
- 11:46, Cameron J. (G),
- 13:06, Humphries L. (G),
- 16:29, Cameron J. (G),
- 18:10, Kolodjashnij J. (G),
- 20:05, (Behind Rushed),
- 20:55, (Behind Rushed),
- 21:57, (Behind Rushed),
- 24', Smith B. (G),
- 28:09, Martin J. (Behind),
- 29:26, (Behind Rushed),
- 31', Cameron J. (G),
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 3.Recent performances by Geelong have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).Western is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4). Geelong could have a small edge in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1729:1497. (average 86.5:74.9).Including home matches between the teams, Geelong won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1019:897. (average 92.6:81.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 22.05.25 | Geelong Cats - Western Bulldogs | 127:113 | | 20.07.24 | Geelong Cats - Western Bulldogs | 48:95 | | 06.04.24 | Western Bulldogs - Geelong Cats | 91:95 | | 26.08.23 | Geelong Cats - Western Bulldogs | 79:104 | | 03.06.23 | Western Bulldogs - Geelong Cats | 75:97 | | 30.07.22 | Geelong Cats - Western Bulldogs | 94:66 | | 03.06.22 | Western Bulldogs - Geelong Cats | 70:83 |
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