Match Info

AFL Women - Round 9

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday

Location: Whitten Oval (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL TV, Fox Footy
United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 1


	Western Bulldogs		Essendon Bombers

	1	X	2
	1.04		11
	1.07	75.00	7.00
	1.06		7.4
	1.07		8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.06 ↓ (1.13)	18.75 ↓ (75)	8.4 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 79.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-58)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Western Bulldogs
84.6%

Draw
4.8%

Essendon Bombers
10.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

81.1%

1.2%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Western Bulldogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Essendon Bombers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Essendon Bombers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Western Bulldogs - Essendon Bombers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 69:11

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (13 - 10)
2nd Quarter (26 - 1)
3rd Quarter (7 - 10)
4th Quarter (19 - 1)

Preview

Western is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Essendon is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

The betting markets point to Western as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Western has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 70:36 (averaging 35:18 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Western against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 70:36 goals (averaging 35:18 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
4	Western Bulldogs W	10	8	0	2	455:323	140.87	32
17	Essendon Bombers W	10	1	0	9	328:590	55.59	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Western Bulldogs Women
AFL Women
03.10.26	Western Bulldogs - St Kilda Saints	31:1 ✺
25.09.26	Western Bulldogs - Port Adelaide Power	62:49 ✺
19.09.26	Fremantle Dockers - Western Bulldogs	30:40 ✺
11.09.26	Hawthorn Hawks - Western Bulldogs	41:30 ✺
04.09.26	Western Bulldogs - Sydney Swans	60:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWLW
- Essendon Bombers Women
AFL Women
02.10.26	Greater Western Sydney Giants - Essendon Bombers	35:43 ✺
24.09.26	Essendon Bombers - West Coast Eagles	35:45 ✺
19.09.26	Essendon Bombers - Gold Coast Suns	10:51 ✺
13.09.26	Fremantle Dockers - Essendon Bombers	37:22 ✺
06.09.26	Geelong Cats - Essendon Bombers	83:51 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
10.10.25	Western Bulldogs - Essendon Bombers	67:10
11.10.24	Western Bulldogs - Essendon Bombers	3:26

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