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Current Win Probability
Richmond Tigers 46.1%
West Coast Eagles 53.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
48.5%
51.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.7%
44.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Richmond Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
West Coast Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richmond Tigers than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Richmond Tigers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for West Coast Eagles than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for West Coast Eagles, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Richmond Tigers - West Coast Eagles Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:85
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (28 - 18)
00:56, Lynch T. (Behind),
03:02, Herbert M. (Behind),
04:09, Waterman J. (Behind),
05:12, Duff-Tytler C. (Behind),
09:33, Lefau M. (Behind),
11:56, (Behind Rushed),
13:57, Ralphsmith H. (G),
15:21, Short J. (G),
17:03, (Behind Rushed),
19:01, Waterman J. (G),
23:22, Ross J. (G),
25:01, Lalor S. (G),
27:40, Johnston H. (Behind),
29:19, Banks S. (Behind),
30:57, Williams J. (G),
32:38, Retschko P. (Behind),
2nd Quarter (18 - 13)
01:26, (Behind Rushed),
03:05, Waterman J. (Behind),
04:22, Reid H. (Behind),
06:48, Waterman J. (Behind),
08:04, Cole T. (G),
10:38, Taranto T. (G),
14:04, Ralphsmith H. (G),
16:36, Waterman J. (Behind),
17:48, Reid H. (Behind),
23:51, Lynch T. (G),
28:33, Murdock M. (Behind),
3rd Quarter (14 - 17)
00:54, Shanahan J. (Behind),
02:14, Reid H. (Behind),
04:41, Waterman J. (Behind),
06:09, Lefau M. (Behind),
10:52, Shanahan J. (Behind),
14:31, Sonsie T. (G),
17:45, Waterman J. (G),
22:00, Lalor S. (G),
25:15, Waterman J. (Behind),
26:45, Shanahan J. (G),
28:11, Lefau M. (Behind),
4th Quarter (24 - 25)
01:48, Lynch T. (G),
04:02, Nankervis T. (G),
07:59, Duggan L. (G),
10:48, (Behind Rushed),
12:10, Lynch T. (Behind),
15:00, Lalor S. (Behind),
16:21, Lynch T. (Behind),
18:21, Williams J. (G),
19:44, Johnston H. (G),
23:25, Lynch T. (Behind),
26:04, Ralphsmith H. (Behind),
28:36, Yeo E. (Behind),
29:13, Lalor S. (G),
30:42, Duursma W. (G),
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Richmond won 4.
A run of poor results has hit both teams ahead of this match.
Richmond may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
West Coast could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Richmond won 13 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 1555:1341. (average 81.8:70.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Richmond won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 635:528. (average 79.4:66).
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