Match Info
AFL - Round 20Date: 25 July 2026, SaturdayLocation: Marvel Stadium (Melbourne)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | AFL TV |
 United-kingdom | HBO Max, TNT Sports 5, TNT Sports 8 |
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Western Bulldogs |
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Richmond Tigers |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.1 |
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7 |
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1.11 |
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5.5 |
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 Watch |
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1.12 |
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5.8 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.11
(1.11) |
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6.1 ↓
(6.5) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 171.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-40)
- The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Western Bulldogs
84.6% | Richmond Tigers
15.4% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Western Bulldogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Richmond Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Western Bulldogs - Richmond Tigers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 106:66 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (17 - 15)
- 01:55, (Behind Rushed),
- 04:32, Lefau M. (G),
- 05:44, Naughton A. (G),
- 11:27, Lobb R. (Behind),
- 12:59, Lynch T. (G),
- 15:49, Kennedy M. (Behind),
- 16:53, West R. (G),
- 19:45, Jones A. (Behind),
- 21:29, Croft J. (Behind),
- 23:07, (Behind Rushed),
- 26:25, Prestia D. (Behind),
- 28:34, Freijah J. (Behind),
- 2nd Quarter (29 - 0)
- 01:02, (Behind Rushed),
- 03:26, Lobb R. (Behind),
- 04:21, Richards E. (G),
- 07:20, Davidson S. (Behind),
- 14:26, Davidson S. (G),
- 16:09, Naughton A. (Behind),
- 19:00, Naughton A. (Behind),
- 20:17, West R. (G),
- 25:29, Croft J. (G),
- 3rd Quarter (27 - 20)
- 02:03, Naughton A. (Behind),
- 03:13, Lobb R. (Behind),
- 03:46, Lalor S. (G),
- 06:19, Dolan J. (G),
- 07:25, Weightman C. (G),
- 09:56, (Behind Rushed),
- 13:38, Weightman C. (G),
- 14:47, Lalor S. (Behind),
- 18:45, Richards E. (G),
- 22:18, Lynch T. (G),
- 25:51, Hotton T. (Behind),
- 27:45, Mansell R. (G),
- 4th Quarter (32 - 13)
- 01:25, Lefau M. (G),
- 05:45, Jones A. (G),
- 07:28, Weightman C. (Behind),
- 08:45, Hynes C. (G),
- 09:53, Lalor S. (Behind),
- 12:31, English T. (G),
- 18:05, Taranto T. (G),
- 20:34, English T. (Behind),
- 24:17, Bontempelli M. (G),
- 29:42, Bontempelli M. (G),
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 18).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Western won 4.Western has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).Richmond is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0). In this match, Western is the obvious favorite.In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Western won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1410:1306. (average 82.9:76.8).Including home matches between the teams, Western won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 824:705. (average 91.6:78.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Richmond Tigers - the odds 6.5 are the expected chance of winning is 14.59%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 22.06.25 | Western Bulldogs - Richmond Tigers | 135:56 | | 11.05.24 | Richmond Tigers - Western Bulldogs | 42:133 | | 04.08.23 | Western Bulldogs - Richmond Tigers | 126:71 | | 08.04.23 | Richmond Tigers - Western Bulldogs | 84:89 | | 09.04.22 | Richmond Tigers - Western Bulldogs | 99:61 | | 30.04.21 | Richmond Tigers - Western Bulldogs | 77:55 | | 29.07.20 | Western Bulldogs - Richmond Tigers | 49:90 |
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