Match Info
AFL - Round 16Date: 27 June 2026, SaturdayLocation: Melbourne Cricket Ground (Melbourne)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | AFL TV |
 United-kingdom | TNT Sports 4 |
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Collingwood Magpies |
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Richmond Tigers |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.1 |
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7 |
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 |
1.12 |
125.00 |
5.20 |
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 Watch |
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1.11 |
101.00 |
5.50 |
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 |
1.13 |
101.00 |
5.80 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.12
(1.12) |
81.75
|
5.88 ↓
(6.25) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 164.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-38)
- The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Collingwood Magpies
83.1% | Draw
1.1% | Richmond Tigers
15.8% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Collingwood Magpies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Richmond Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Collingwood Magpies - Richmond Tigers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 101:63 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (15 - 15)
- 02:48, (Behind Rushed),
- 05:22, Daicos N. (G),
- 08:22, Alger J. (G),
- 10:37, Daicos J. (Behind),
- 12:46, Retschko P. (Behind),
- 17:06, Mansell R. (Behind),
- 20:30, Alger J. (G),
- 22:38, Daicos N. (G),
- 26:40, Steele R. (Behind),
- 27:13, (Behind Rushed),
- 2nd Quarter (39 - 6)
- 00:41, Houston D. (G),
- 03:03, Lipinski P. (G),
- 05:20, Schultz L. (G),
- 11:29, Buller J. (Behind),
- 12:07, Lipinski P. (Behind),
- 12:53, Mansell R. (G),
- 19:28, (Behind Rushed),
- 21:10, Membrey T. (G),
- 27:18, Membrey T. (G),
- 29:26, Buller J. (G),
- 3rd Quarter (22 - 27)
- 01:02, Taranto T. (G),
- 02:17, Grlj S. (Behind),
- 04:21, De Goey J. (G),
- 06:16, Buller J. (G),
- 08:21, Taranto T. (G),
- 10:49, Membrey T. (Behind),
- 12:28, Lipinski P. (G),
- 17:48, Houston D. (Behind),
- 19:10, Taranto T. (G),
- 22:11, De Goey J. (Behind),
- 25:21, Balta N. (G),
- 27:29, Daicos J. (Behind),
- 28:19, Brown T. (Behind),
- 29:32, Green S. (Behind),
- 4th Quarter (30 - 24)
- 01:06, Schultz L. (G),
- 02:35, Daicos N. (G),
- 04:25, Grlj S. (G),
- 05:31, Schultz L. (Behind),
- 07:00, Houston D. (Behind),
- 12:15, Allan E. (Behind),
- 12:53, Schultz L. (G),
- 14:05, Mansell R. (G),
- 16:52, Schultz L. (G),
- 18:22, Membrey T. (Behind),
- 19:37, Mansell R. (G),
- 24:53, Daicos J. (Behind),
- 25:35, (Behind Rushed),
- 26:17, Taranto T. (G),
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 17).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Collingwood won 5.Recent performances by Collingwood have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).Richmond is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Collingwood may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Collingwood is the undisputed favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Collingwood won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 1658:1583. (average 82.9:79.2).Including home matches between the teams, Collingwood won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 621:722. (average 69:80.2).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 27.07.25 | Richmond Tigers - Collingwood Magpies | 57:93 | | AAMI Community Series | | | 26.02.25 | Richmond Tigers - Collingwood Magpies | 49:132 | | AFL | | | 27.07.24 | Collingwood Magpies - Richmond Tigers | 93:67 | | AAMI Community Series | | | 27.02.24 | Collingwood Magpies - Richmond Tigers | 76:46 | | AFL | | | 31.03.23 | Collingwood Magpies - Richmond Tigers | 63:49 | | 06.05.22 | Richmond Tigers - Collingwood Magpies | 113:86 | | 11.07.21 | Richmond Tigers - Collingwood Magpies | 71:87 |
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