Match Info
AFL - Round 18Date: 12 July 2026, SundayLocation: Melbourne Cricket Ground (Melbourne)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Africa | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Australia | AFL TV |
 United-kingdom | HBO Max, TNT Sports 3 |
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Melbourne Demons |
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Richmond Tigers |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.11 |
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6.5 |
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 |
1.08 |
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6.5 |
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 Watch |
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1.08 |
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7.2 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.09 ↓
(1.11) |
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6.73 ↑
(6.5) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 166.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-39)
- The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Melbourne Demons
86.1% | Richmond Tigers
13.9% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Melbourne Demons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Richmond Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Melbourne Demons - Richmond Tigers Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Melbourne will win (votes: 3 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 103:64 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (32 - 20)
- 01:41, Van Rooyen J. (G),
- 04:54, Mansell R. (Behind),
- 05:45, Taranto T. (G),
- 08:14, Peucker Z. (G),
- 09:47, Melksham J. (G),
- 11:56, Nankervis T. (G),
- 15:54, (Behind Rushed),
- 17:11, Melksham J. (G),
- 21:10, (Behind Rushed),
- 21:36, Windsor C. (G),
- 25:09, Van Rooyen J. (G),
- 26:42, Jefferson M. (Behind),
- 2nd Quarter (31 - 9)
- 01:39, Taranto T. (Behind),
- 03:58, Gawn M. (G),
- 05:47, Melksham J. (Behind),
- 08:42, (Behind Rushed),
- 11:13, (Behind Rushed),
- 12:41, Van Rooyen J. (Behind),
- 15:50, Mansell R. (Behind),
- 19:26, Pickett K. (Behind),
- 20:03, Bowey J. (G),
- 21:25, Ralphsmith H. (Behind),
- 22:29, Van Rooyen J. (G),
- 24:14, Langford H. (Behind),
- 25:25, Jefferson M. (Behind),
- 27:22, Nankervis T. (G),
- 28:34, Van Rooyen J. (G),
- 3rd Quarter (20 - 11)
- 01:05, (Behind Rushed),
- 09:45, Sparrow T. (Behind),
- 11:33, Lynch T. (Behind),
- 12:46, Alger J. (G),
- 14:11, Ralphsmith H. (Behind),
- 15:44, Jefferson M. (G),
- 17:26, Grlj S. (Behind),
- 20:01, Pickett L. (G),
- 22:10, Chandler K. (Behind),
- 28:25, Hotton T. (Behind),
- 29:11, Sparrow T. (G),
- 4th Quarter (28 - 25)
- 01:03, Van Rooyen J. (G),
- 05:53, Van Rooyen J. (Behind),
- 08:44, Gawn M. (G),
- 13:53, Alger J. (G),
- 15:38, Steele J. (Behind),
- 16:32, Langford H. (Behind),
- 17:25, Cumming S. (G),
- 19:33, Lefau M. (G),
- 22:12, Sharp H. (Behind),
- 23:44, Van Rooyen J. (G),
- 25:24, Cumming S. (G),
- 27:43, Trezise J. (Behind),
- 29:54, Sharp H. (G),
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 17).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 5.Recent performances by Melbourne have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).Richmond has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0). In this match, Melbourne is the obvious favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1575:1443. (average 78.8:72.2).Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 694:660. (average 69.4:66).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 24.04.26 | Richmond Tigers - Melbourne Demons | 72:126 | | 24.04.25 | Melbourne Demons - Richmond Tigers | 83:63 | | 24.04.24 | Richmond Tigers - Melbourne Demons | 42:85 | | 30.07.23 | Richmond Tigers - Melbourne Demons | 98:130 | | 24.04.23 | Melbourne Demons - Richmond Tigers | 96:78 | | AAMI Community Series | | | 04.03.23 | Melbourne Demons - Richmond Tigers | 121:71 | | AFL | | | 24.04.22 | Richmond Tigers - Melbourne Demons | 54:76 |
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