Match Info
AFL - Round 19Date: 18 July 2026, SaturdayLocation: Melbourne Cricket Ground (Melbourne)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | AFL TV |
 Canada | fubo Sports Network |
 United-kingdom | HBO Max, TNT Sports 2 |
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Richmond Tigers |
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Hawthorn Hawks |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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11 |
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1.04 |
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7 |
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1.05 |
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 Watch |
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8.6 |
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1.06 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8.87 ↓
(9.5) |
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1.05 ↓
(1.06) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 173.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-50)
- The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Richmond Tigers
10.6% | Hawthorn Hawks
89.4% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Richmond Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Hawthorn Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Richmond Tigers - Hawthorn Hawks Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 62:112 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (5 - 34)
- 04:25, (Behind Rushed),
- 05:19, (Behind Rushed),
- 06:32, Watson N. (G),
- 10:57, Lewis M. (G),
- 12:27, Campbell S. (Behind),
- 14:57, Lewis M. (G),
- 18:35, Retschko P. (Behind),
- 20:19, (Behind Rushed),
- 22:08, Weddle J. (Behind),
- 23:45, Watson N. (G),
- 25:41, Lewis M. (G),
- 30:04, Campbell S. (Behind),
- 30:34, (Behind Rushed),
- 31:48, Lewis M. (Behind),
- 2nd Quarter (13 - 47)
- 02:09, (Behind Rushed),
- 04:19, Gunston J. (Behind),
- 05:09, Newcombe J. (Behind),
- 06:40, Lewis M. (G),
- 08:53, Retschko P. (G),
- 11:19, Lefau M. (G),
- 14:19, McCabe W. (G),
- 15:34, Battle J. (G),
- 17:35, Lewis M. (G),
- 19:47, Lewis M. (Behind),
- 20:34, Impey J. (G),
- 24:00, Watson N. (Behind),
- 25:12, Watson N. (G),
- 28:56, (Behind Rushed),
- 31:51, Watson N. (G),
- 3rd Quarter (11 - 26)
- 02:12, Sicily J. (G),
- 03:35, Watson N. (G),
- 05:53, Campbell S. (Behind),
- 08:18, Ralphsmith H. (Behind),
- 10:11, Gunston J. (G),
- 12:58, Greeves O. (G),
- 17:15, Ward J. (Behind),
- 18:43, Moore D. (Behind),
- 25:21, (Behind Rushed),
- 26:22, Taranto T. (Behind),
- 27:32, Mansell R. (Behind),
- 28:38, Lalor S. (G),
- 4th Quarter (23 - 15)
- 02:14, Mansell R. (Behind),
- 02:53, Lynch T. (Behind),
- 05:40, Watson N. (Behind),
- 09:03, Mraz N. (Behind),
- 10:14, Cumming S. (Behind),
- 14:49, Nankervis T. (Behind),
- 16:15, Grlj S. (Behind),
- 19:20, Brown T. (G),
- 21:48, Mraz N. (Behind),
- 23:02, Lynch T. (G),
- 24:52, McAuliffe K. (G),
- 28:48, Chol M. (G),
- 30:02, Mraz N. (G),
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Richmond won 2.Richmond is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).Hawthorn has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Hawthorn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Hawthorn is the clear favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Richmond won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 1637:1682. (average 81.9:84.1).Including home matches between the teams, Richmond won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 1026:976. (average 85.5:81.3).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 04.05.25 | Hawthorn Hawks - Richmond Tigers | 109:44 | | 18.08.24 | Hawthorn Hawks - Richmond Tigers | 131:68 | | 15.06.24 | Richmond Tigers - Hawthorn Hawks | 49:97 | | 21.07.23 | Richmond Tigers - Hawthorn Hawks | 96:95 | | 13.08.22 | Richmond Tigers - Hawthorn Hawks | 128:67 | | 13.05.22 | Hawthorn Hawks - Richmond Tigers | 94:117 | | AAMI Community Series | | | 04.03.22 | Hawthorn Hawks - Richmond Tigers | 69:94 |
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