Match Info
AFL - Round 17Date: 4 July 2026, SaturdayLocation: Melbourne Cricket Ground (Melbourne)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | AFL TV |
 Canada | fubo Sports Network |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 7 |
 United-kingdom | TNT Sports 2 |
 Usa | Fox Soccer Plus |
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Richmond Tigers |
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Carlton Blues |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
5.5 |
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1.15 |
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4.3 |
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1.17 |
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 Watch |
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4.7 |
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1.18 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.83 ↓
(6.25) |
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1.17 ↑
(1.12) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 164.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-32)
- The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Richmond Tigers
19.4% | Carlton Blues
80.6% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Richmond Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Carlton Blues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Richmond Tigers - Carlton Blues Predictions
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Carlton will win (votes: 2 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 66:98 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (33 - 15)
- 00:38, (Behind Rushed),
- 02:45, Lynch T. (Behind),
- 05:51, Pittonet M. (Behind),
- 07:44, Kemp B. (G),
- 12:49, Campbell S. (G),
- 15:19, Evans F. (G),
- 16:55, Lefau M. (G),
- 19:49, Mansell R. (G),
- 21:24, (Behind Rushed),
- 25:21, Balta N. (G),
- 27:02, (Behind Rushed),
- 27:58, (Behind Rushed),
- 29:58, Alger J. (G),
- 2nd Quarter (8 - 34)
- 00:35, Balta N. (Behind),
- 02:58, (Behind Rushed),
- 03:14, Cripps P. (G),
- 05:02, McGovern M. (G),
- 10:55, Cripps P. (Behind),
- 12:53, Kemp B. (G),
- 15:33, Cerra A. (Behind),
- 17:58, (Behind Rushed),
- 21:11, Cerra A. (G),
- 22:21, Mansell R. (Behind),
- 24:42, Ainsworth B. (G),
- 26:23, Balta N. (G),
- 3rd Quarter (9 - 15)
- 07:29, McKay H. (G),
- 08:38, Campbell S. (Behind),
- 10:43, Florent O. (Behind),
- 12:54, Balta N. (Behind),
- 14:14, Hewett G. (G),
- 17:02, Mansell R. (G),
- 19:51, Smith J. (Behind),
- 22:54, Nankervis T. (Behind),
- 27:33, Cripps P. (Behind),
- 4th Quarter (22 - 10)
- 01:36, (Behind Rushed),
- 02:33, Taranto T. (Behind),
- 04:36, Kemp B. (Behind),
- 08:21, Pittonet M. (Behind),
- 10:18, Byrne T. (Behind),
- 12:19, Hotton T. (G),
- 14:13, Ison J. (Behind),
- 15:12, Taranto T. (Behind),
- 18:35, Hewett G. (G),
- 25:33, (Behind Rushed),
- 28:00, Lefau M. (G),
- 29:36, Campbell S. (G),
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 12).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Richmond won 1.Richmond is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).Carlton is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins). In this match, Carlton is the clear favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Richmond won 13 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 1794:1608. (average 89.7:80.4).Including home matches between the teams, Richmond won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1232:1115. (average 88:79.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Richmond Tigers - the odds 6.25 are the expected chance of winning is 15.2%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 12.03.26 | Carlton Blues - Richmond Tigers | 75:71 | | 13.03.25 | Richmond Tigers - Carlton Blues | 82:69 | | 30.06.24 | Richmond Tigers - Carlton Blues | 70:131 | | 14.03.24 | Carlton Blues - Richmond Tigers | 86:81 | | 16.03.23 | Richmond Tigers - Carlton Blues | 58:58 | | 16.06.22 | Richmond Tigers - Carlton Blues | 81:66 | | 17.03.22 | Carlton Blues - Richmond Tigers | 101:76 |
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