Match Info
AFL - Round 21Date: 2 August 2025, SaturdayLocation: Sydney Cricket Ground (Sydney)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | AFL, Fox Footy |
 United-kingdom | TNT Sports 4 |
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Sydney Swans |
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Essendon Bombers |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.12 |
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6.75 |
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 |
1.04 |
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7.4 |
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 |
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 Watch |
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1.05 |
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9 |
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1.06 |
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9 |
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1.02 |
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8.5 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.06 ↑
(1.05) |
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8.13 ↓
(9.5) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 139.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-41)
- The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sydney Swans
88.5% | Essendon Bombers
11.5% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Sydney Swans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Essendon Bombers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Sydney Swans - Essendon Bombers Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Sydney will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Essendon will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 141.5 Points - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 148.5 Points - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:50 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (27 - 16)
- 01:58, McGrath A. (Behind),
- 04:11, Gulden E. (G),
- 07:44, Rowbottom J. (Behind),
- 08:23, (Behind Rushed),
- 09:48, Perkins A. (G),
- 15:00, McMahon L. (Behind),
- 16:24, Dattoli J. (Behind),
- 18:50, Guelfi M. (G),
- 20:49, Campbell B. (G),
- 22:51, Rowbottom J. (Behind),
- 24:39, McInerney J. (G),
- 26:20, (Behind Rushed),
- 29:26, Rowbottom J. (G),
- 2nd Quarter (18 - 2)
- 01:45, Campbell B. (Behind),
- 03:02, Roberts A. (Behind),
- 06:03, Lloyd J. (Behind),
- 07:44, Grundy B. (Behind),
- 11:03, Durham S. (Behind),
- 17:42, Blakey N. (Behind),
- 19:17, Ladhams P. (Behind),
- 20:18, Buller J. (G),
- 22:06, Dattoli J. (Behind),
- 27:31, Papley T. (G),
- 3rd Quarter (15 - 16)
- 00:30, Hobbs B. (Behind),
- 01:31, Clarke A. (G),
- 04:27, Heeney I. (G),
- 06:48, (Behind Rushed),
- 08:44, May A. (G),
- 10:55, Hobbs B. (Behind),
- 16:30, (Behind Rushed),
- 19:15, McInerney J. (G),
- 21:28, (Behind Rushed),
- 25:52, Buller J. (Behind),
- 27:24, Heeney I. (Behind),
- 4th Quarter (8 - 20)
- 01:00, (Behind Rushed),
- 02:45, Campbell B. (G),
- 04:56, Redman M. (G),
- 11:41, Kako I. (G),
- 13:29, Wright P. (Behind),
- 14:29, Blakiston L. (G),
- 17:50, Merrett Z. (Behind),
- 28:03, (Behind Rushed),
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 15).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 3.Sydney has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).Essendon has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).Essendon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Sydney is the obvious favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1780:1437. (average 89:71.9).Including home matches between the teams, Sydney won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1077:762. (average 97.9:69.3).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 10.05.25 | Essendon Bombers - Sydney Swans | 71:63 | | 16.08.24 | Essendon Bombers - Sydney Swans | 59:98 | | 23.03.24 | Sydney Swans - Essendon Bombers | 131:101 | | 29.07.23 | Essendon Bombers - Sydney Swans | 99:101 | | 01.07.22 | Essendon Bombers - Sydney Swans | 95:86 | | 14.05.22 | Sydney Swans - Essendon Bombers | 105:47 | | 01.08.21 | Essendon Bombers - Sydney Swans | 102:109 |
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