Match Info
AFL - Round 8Date: 2 May 2025, FridayLocation: Mars Stadium (Ballarat)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | AFL, Fox Footy |
 United-kingdom | TNT Sports 3 |
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Western Bulldogs |
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Port Adelaide Power |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.3 |
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3.7 |
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 |
1.34 |
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2.94 |
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 |
1.4 |
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2.85 |
 Watch |
 |
1.36 |
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3 |
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 |
1.31 |
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3.38 |
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 |
1.34 |
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2.94 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.34 ↓
(1.42) |
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3.14 ↑
(2.83) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 170.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-22)
- The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by
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Western Bulldogs
70% | Port Adelaide Power
30% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Western Bulldogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Port Adelaide Power has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Bulldogs than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Adelaide Power than the current prediction. (+3.1%)Western Bulldogs - Port Adelaide Power Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 96:74 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (13 - 16)
- 02:01, Rioli W. (G),
- 04:20, (Behind Rushed),
- 10:59, Drew W. (Behind),
- 11:46, Powell-Pepper S. (Behind),
- 14:46, Richards J. (Behind),
- 17:40, Khamis B. (G),
- 19:20, Rioli W. (G),
- 22:18, West R. (G),
- 24:06, Davidson S. (Behind),
- 2nd Quarter (38 - 9)
- 02:32, Richards E. (G),
- 04:38, Bontempelli M. (Behind),
- 06:59, Khamis B. (G),
- 09:45, Sanders R. (G),
- 11:25, Naughton A. (Behind),
- 12:28, Naughton A. (G),
- 19:04, Cleary L. (G),
- 23:05, Sweet J. (G),
- 28:06, Georgiades M. (Behind),
- 29:35, Horne-Francis J. (Behind),
- 30:36, Naughton A. (G),
- 32:59, Georgiades M. (Behind),
- 3rd Quarter (45 - 13)
- 02:23, Richards J. (Behind),
- 03:40, English T. (G),
- 05:45, English T. (Behind),
- 07:42, Richards E. (G),
- 09:16, (Behind Rushed),
- 09:49, Georgiades M. (G),
- 14:28, Powell-Pepper S. (G),
- 16:04, Freijah J. (G),
- 17:26, Bontempelli M. (G),
- 21:36, Bontempelli M. (G),
- 25:09, English T. (G),
- 28:11, Naughton A. (G),
- 33:36, Harmes J. (Behind),
- 4th Quarter (35 - 3)
- 00:48, McNeil L. (Behind),
- 01:53, Kennedy M. (Behind),
- 06:36, McNeil L. (G),
- 08:25, Wines O. (Behind),
- 09:38, English T. (G),
- 12:08, Davidson S. (Behind),
- 14:00, (Behind Rushed),
- 16:09, Horne-Francis J. (Behind),
- 17:39, Bontempelli M. (G),
- 21:22, Treloar A. (G),
- 26:12, Richards E. (Behind),
- 28:35, West R. (G),
- 31:22, Vandermeer L. (Behind),
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 9).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Western won 1.Both teams have been playing unpredictably. In this match, Western is the team to beat.In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Western won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1334:1497. (average 70.2:78.8).Including home matches between the teams, Western won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 457:469. (average 65.3:67).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 05.07.24 | Port Adelaide Power - Western Bulldogs | 102:54 | | 09.06.23 | Western Bulldogs - Port Adelaide Power | 85:107 | | 15.04.23 | Port Adelaide Power - Western Bulldogs | 70:56 | | 06.05.22 | Port Adelaide Power - Western Bulldogs | 86:69 | | 11.09.21 | Port Adelaide Power - Western Bulldogs | 45:116 | | 20.08.21 | Western Bulldogs - Port Adelaide Power | 64:66 | | 15.05.21 | Port Adelaide Power - Western Bulldogs | 77:96 |
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