Match Info
AFL - Round 6Date: 20 April 2025, SundayLocation: Marvel Stadium (Melbourne)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | AFL, Fox Footy, Seven Network |
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Western Bulldogs |
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St Kilda Saints |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.56 |
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2.5 |
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 |
1.53 |
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2.31 |
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 |
1.54 |
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2.41 |
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 |
1.53 |
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2.38 |
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 |
1.59 |
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2.35 |
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1.53 |
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2.31 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↓
(1.63) |
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2.38 ↑
(2.22) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 176.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)
- The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
Watch this match and AFL with fuboTV (for US customers) Network on TV: FOX Soccer Plus#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Western Bulldogs
60.6% | St Kilda Saints
39.4% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Western Bulldogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)St Kilda Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Bulldogs than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Kilda Saints than the current prediction. (+2.9%)Western Bulldogs - St Kilda Saints Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 93:84 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (23 - 25)
- 01:32, Owens M. (G),
- 02:53, Freijah J. (G),
- 04:57, Owens M. (G),
- 06:48, Sinclair J. (G),
- 08:40, Higgins J. (Behind),
- 10:45, (Behind Rushed),
- 11:53, Naughton A. (Behind),
- 15:03, Higgins J. (G),
- 17:57, West R. (G),
- 20:29, Kennedy M. (G),
- 22:03, Bontempelli M. (Behind),
- 25:24, Cleary L. (Behind),
- 30:15, (Behind Rushed),
- 2nd Quarter (33 - 3)
- 00:56, Naughton A. (Behind),
- 02:12, Naughton A. (G),
- 04:48, Bontempelli M. (G),
- 05:58, Wilson D. (Behind),
- 06:51, West R. (G),
- 11:12, Bontempelli M. (G),
- 12:47, Naughton A. (G),
- 17:00, McNeil L. (Behind),
- 20:18, Williams B. (Behind),
- 21:15, Sharman C. (Behind),
- 22:10, Sharman C. (Behind),
- 3rd Quarter (35 - 16)
- 02:15, Higgins J. (G),
- 04:59, Sanders R. (G),
- 06:41, Sharman C. (Behind),
- 07:32, Johannisen J. (G),
- 10:51, Hynes C. (Behind),
- 13:08, Garcia H. (Behind),
- 13:54, (Behind Rushed),
- 16:00, Higgins J. (Behind),
- 16:35, (Behind Rushed),
- 17:31, Naughton A. (G),
- 19:34, West R. (G),
- 23:05, Richards E. (G),
- 24:44, Owens M. (G),
- 27:09, (Behind Rushed),
- 27:39, (Behind Rushed),
- 30:11, Sanders R. (Behind),
- 4th Quarter (36 - 12)
- 03:21, Richards E. (Behind),
- 08:15, Higgins J. (G),
- 09:08, Liberatore T. (G),
- 10:24, (Behind Rushed),
- 11:07, Freijah J. (G),
- 13:11, (Behind Rushed),
- 14:14, Naughton A. (Behind),
- 15:31, McNeil L. (G),
- 17:29, Kennedy M. (G),
- 18:57, Williams B. (G),
- 20:28, Wilson D. (G),
- 26:30, Lobb R. (Behind),
- 27:42, Davidson S. (Behind),
Preview
An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 9).Last 5 head-to-head matches Western won 3. Both teams are now playing unstable. Western could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. Western will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 18 head-to-head matches Western won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 1401:1188 (average 77.8:66). Including matches at home between the teams Western won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 585:493 (average 73.1:61.6).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 18.04.24 | St Kilda Saints - Western Bulldogs | 64:124 | | 25.03.23 | Western Bulldogs - St Kilda Saints | 41:92 | | 15.07.22 | Western Bulldogs - St Kilda Saints | 84:56 | | 22.05.21 | Western Bulldogs - St Kilda Saints | 144:33 | | 03.10.20 | St Kilda Saints - Western Bulldogs | 67:64 | | 14.06.20 | St Kilda Saints - Western Bulldogs | 88:49 | | 21.07.19 | St Kilda Saints - Western Bulldogs | 116:89 |
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