Match Info

AFL - Round 5

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Adelaide Oval (Adelaide)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL, Fox Footy
New-zealand	Sky Sport Select
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 4
Usa	Sport 24 At Sea


	Port Adelaide Power		Hawthorn Hawks

	1	2
	2.85	1.45
	2.7	1.4
	2.73	1.43
	2.75	1.4
	2.71	1.43	Watch
	2.7	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.66)	1.42 ↓ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 175.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-17)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Network on TV: FOX Sports 2

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Current Win Probability

Port Adelaide Power
34.1%

Hawthorn Hawks
65.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.9%

64.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Port Adelaide Power has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Hawthorn Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Port Adelaide Power - Hawthorn Hawks Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Port Adelaide will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Hawthorn will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hawthorn (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Points, OT - Hawthorn (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Hawthorn (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Half - Hawthorn (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -13.5 Points - Hawthorn (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -7.5 Points, 1st Half - Hawthorn (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Hawthorn (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:97

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (39 - 8)
01:22, Richards J. (G),
03:49, Mead J. (G),
06:43, Rioli W. (G),
08:56, Powell-Pepper S. (Behind),
10:35, Gunston J. (G),
13:23, Maginness F. (Behind),
15:00, Bergman M. (G),
16:38, D'Ambrosio M. (Behind),
21:30, Richards J. (G),
22:44, Mead J. (Behind),
23:52, Georgiades M. (Behind),
26:44, Georgiades M. (G),
2nd Quarter (40 - 12)
01:12, Rozee C. (G),
05:30, Powell-Pepper S. (G),
09:04, Georgiades M. (G),
12:06, Rozee C. (G),
14:56, (Behind Rushed),
15:42, Mead J. (G),
22:12, Rozee C. (Behind),
23:51, Drew W. (G),
26:44, Horne-Francis J. (Behind),
30:00, Rioli W. (Behind),
30:56, Gunston J. (G),
33:22, Meek L. (G),
3rd Quarter (15 - 27)
02:56, Worpel J. (Behind),
05:15, Bergman M. (Behind),
08:28, Newcombe J. (G),
10:15, Sicily J. (G),
12:41, Lord O. (G),
14:43, (Behind Rushed),
19:21, Lord O. (Behind),
22:25, Gunston J. (G),
23:52, Georgiades M. (G),
25:07, (Behind Rushed),
26:29, Meek L. (G),
28:04, (Behind Rushed),
4th Quarter (27 - 44)
01:05, (Behind Rushed),
02:47, Gunston J. (G),
04:40, Cochrane T. (G),
09:30, Chol M. (G),
11:15, Worpel J. (G),
14:20, Drew W. (Behind),
15:35, Sicily J. (G),
17:43, Sicily J. (Behind),
18:59, Gunston J. (G),
21:17, Powell-Pepper S. (G),
22:38, Rioli W. (G),
23:37, Rioli W. (G),
27:16, Gunston J. (G),
31:11, Georgiades M. (Behind),
31:38, Wines O. (Behind),
32:03, Breust L. (G),

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Port Adelaide won 4.

Recent matches Port Adelaide is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hawthorn is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hawthorn could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Hawthorn will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Hawthorn to win the game is with odds 1.42.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Port Adelaide won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 1380:1322 (average 76.7:73.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Port Adelaide won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 981:942 (average 81.8:78.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Port Adelaide Power
AFL
06.04.25	Port Adelaide Power - St Kilda Saints	72:89 ✺
27.03.25	Essendon Bombers - Port Adelaide Power	72:60 ✺
22.03.25	Port Adelaide Power - Richmond Tigers	140:68 ✺
15.03.25	Collingwood Magpies - Port Adelaide Power	136:45 ✺
AAMI Community Series
28.02.25	St Kilda Saints - Port Adelaide Power	49:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLW
- Hawthorn Hawks
AFL
29.03.25	Hawthorn Hawks - Greater Western Sydney Giants	76:64 ✺
20.03.25	Carlton Blues - Hawthorn Hawks	60:80 ✺
14.03.25	Hawthorn Hawks - Essendon Bombers	111:85 ✺
07.03.25	Sydney Swans - Hawthorn Hawks	76:96 ✺
AAMI Community Series
27.02.25	Hawthorn Hawks - Western Bulldogs	66:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

AFL
13.09.24	Port Adelaide Power - Hawthorn Hawks	75:72
19.05.24	Port Adelaide Power - Hawthorn Hawks	80:79
02.06.23	Port Adelaide Power - Hawthorn Hawks	151:96
26.03.22	Port Adelaide Power - Hawthorn Hawks	56:120
03.07.21	Hawthorn Hawks - Port Adelaide Power	53:87
22.08.20	Port Adelaide Power - Hawthorn Hawks	68:58
24.05.19	Hawthorn Hawks - Port Adelaide Power	80:49

Port Adelaide Power - Hawthorn Hawks: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide