Match Info

AFL - Round 24

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Marvel Stadium (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL TV
United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 2


	Essendon Bombers		Port Adelaide Power

	1	2
	2.15	1.72
	1.95	1.75
			Watch
	2	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (3.85)	1.75 ↑ (1.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 176.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Essendon Bombers
46.3%

Port Adelaide Power
53.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.8%

75.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Essendon Bombers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Essendon Bombers's performance.

Port Adelaide Power has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Port Adelaide Power might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Essendon Bombers - Port Adelaide Power Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Port Adelaide will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:91

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (17 - 21)
02:10, Georgiades M. (G),
08:35, Prior J. (Behind),
09:39, Clarke A. (Behind),
10:27, Berry J. (Behind),
11:54, Merrett Z. (Behind),
13:23, Wright P. (G),
14:30, Clarke A. (Behind),
16:36, (Behind Rushed),
17:12, Anastasopoulos T. (G),
20:15, Zadow M. (Behind),
20:50, Wines O. (G),
25:36, Caddy N. (G),
28:04, Wright P. (Behind),
2nd Quarter (21 - 33)
02:53, Perkins A. (Behind),
03:19, Caldwell J. (Behind),
04:24, Burgoyne J. (G),
06:03, (Behind Rushed),
08:37, Caddy N. (G),
10:52, Georgiades M. (G),
12:52, Caddy N. (G),
14:43, Marshall T. (Behind),
17:35, Bamert X. (G),
22:00, Sweet J. (G),
23:57, Georgiades M. (G),
26:34, Caddy N. (G),
28:38, Day-Wicks A. (Behind),
30:16, Georgiades M. (Behind),
3rd Quarter (25 - 8)
04:46, Caddy N. (G),
08:09, Sweet J. (Behind),
09:54, Wright P. (G),
13:31, Day-Wicks A. (Behind),
15:47, Zadow M. (G),
18:20, Kako I. (G),
21:56, Clarke A. (G),
23:39, Byrne-Jones D. (Behind),
4th Quarter (32 - 42)
00:56, Clarke A. (G),
03:51, (Behind Rushed),
04:53, Caddy N. (G),
10:14, Burgoyne J. (G),
11:34, Zadow M. (G),
13:44, Clarke A. (G),
15:04, Georgiades M. (G),
16:44, Whitlock J. (G),
20:02, Kondogiannis M. (Behind),
21:41, Perkins A. (G),
22:49, Moraes C. (G),
30:58, Merrett Z. (G),
32:38, Georgiades M. (G),
34:33, Whitlock J. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Essendon won 1.

Recent form of Essendon has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Port Adelaide has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Essendon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Essendon won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1313:1633. (average 69.1:85.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Essendon won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 746:772. (average 82.9:85.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Essendon Bombers
AFL
16.08.26	Essendon Bombers - Sydney Swans	76:112 ✺
08.08.26	Geelong Cats - Essendon Bombers	117:50 ✺
02.08.26	Essendon Bombers - Adelaide Crows	73:145 ✺
25.07.26	Hawthorn Hawks - Essendon Bombers	132:39 ✺
19.07.26	Essendon Bombers - Greater Western Sydney Giants	67:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLLLW
- Port Adelaide Power
AFL
15.08.26	Port Adelaide Power - Melbourne Demons	56:132 ✺
08.08.26	Sydney Swans - Port Adelaide Power	167:70 ✺
01.08.26	Port Adelaide Power - Greater Western Sydney Giants	63:75 ✺
25.07.26	Brisbane Lions - Port Adelaide Power	126:67 ✺
17.07.26	Port Adelaide Power - Fremantle Dockers	75:103 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

AFL
22.03.26	Port Adelaide Power - Essendon Bombers	133:70
27.03.25	Essendon Bombers - Port Adelaide Power	72:60
05.04.24	Port Adelaide Power - Essendon Bombers	111:42
01.07.23	Essendon Bombers - Port Adelaide Power	74:78
06.05.23	Port Adelaide Power - Essendon Bombers	92:87
14.08.22	Essendon Bombers - Port Adelaide Power	62:146
29.05.22	Port Adelaide Power - Essendon Bombers	66:50

Essendon Bombers - Port Adelaide Power: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide