The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Port Adelaide Power 65.1%
Draw 1.5%
North Melbourne Kangaroos 33.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
62.7%
37.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.1%
38.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Port Adelaide Power has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
North Melbourne Kangaroos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Adelaide Power than the current prediction. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Melbourne Kangaroos than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that North Melbourne Kangaroos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Port Adelaide Power - North Melbourne Kangaroos Predictions
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. North Melbourne will win (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 95:77
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (9 - 9)
01:35, Wines O. (Behind),
02:15, (Behind Rushed),
04:03, Larkey N. (G),
07:42, (Behind Rushed),
11:46, Georgiades M. (G),
13:51, Darling J. (Behind),
14:59, (Behind Rushed),
26:52, Richards J. (Behind),
2nd Quarter (27 - 8)
02:38, Larkey N. (Behind),
08:18, Whitlock J. (G),
10:55, Berry J. (Behind),
13:41, Whitlock J. (G),
16:05, Georgiades M. (G),
18:57, Wines O. (Behind),
20:52, (Behind Rushed),
24:29, Simpkin J. (G),
26:33, Sweet J. (G),
28:56, Georgiades M. (Behind),
3rd Quarter (15 - 34)
02:18, Georgiades M. (G),
03:32, Darling J. (G),
06:20, Sheezel H. (G),
07:30, McKercher C. (Behind),
10:20, Sweet J. (Behind),
13:15, Larkey N. (Behind),
15:40, Zadow M. (Behind),
17:36, Stephens D. (Behind),
19:31, Davies-Uniacke L. (G),
21:49, (Behind Rushed),
22:24, McKercher C. (G),
24:14, (Behind Rushed),
27:41, Darling J. (G),
28:46, Horne-Francis J. (G),
4th Quarter (22 - 1)
01:56, Zurhaar C. (Behind),
02:30, Butters Z. (Behind),
06:35, Richards J. (Behind),
13:32, Durdin C. (G),
16:45, Georgiades M. (Behind),
18:53, Whitlock J. (G),
20:56, (Behind Rushed),
26:36, Mead J. (G),
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Adelaide won 4.
Port Adelaide has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
North Melbourne is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
North Melbourne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, North Melbourne has had a series of home games.
In this match, Port Adelaide is considered a favorite.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Port Adelaide won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1605:1283. (average 94.4:75.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Port Adelaide won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 435:319. (average 87:63.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Port Adelaide Power - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 62.65%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
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