Match Info
AFL - Round 10Date: 17 May 2026, SundayLocation: Marvel Stadium (Melbourne)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | AFL, Fox Footy |
 United-kingdom | TNT Sports 1 |
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St Kilda Saints |
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Richmond Tigers |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.1 |
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7 |
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1.09 |
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6 |
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 Watch |
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1.1 |
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6 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.1 ↑
(1.07) |
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6.33 ↓
(8.5) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 178.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-41)
- The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
St Kilda Saints
85.2% | Richmond Tigers
14.8% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:St Kilda Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Richmond Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)St Kilda Saints - Richmond Tigers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 110:69 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (33 - 12)
- 01:06, Higgins J. (Behind),
- 02:13, Hall M. (G),
- 05:34, Phillipou M. (G),
- 12:21, Caminiti A. (G),
- 14:51, Sharman C. (G),
- 17:01, Roberts-Thomson N. (G),
- 18:35, Phillipou M. (Behind),
- 21:31, De Koning T. (G),
- 22:37, Roberts-Thomson N. (G),
- 29:33, Marshall R. (Behind),
- 2nd Quarter (32 - 27)
- 00:57, Sharman C. (G),
- 03:12, Faull J. (Behind),
- 04:56, Grlj S. (Behind),
- 06:35, Taranto T. (G),
- 11:05, Marshall R. (Behind),
- 13:12, Balta N. (G),
- 15:40, (Behind Rushed),
- 18:17, Wilson D. (G),
- 19:21, Phillipou M. (G),
- 22:46, Taranto T. (Behind),
- 23:23, Garcia H. (G),
- 24:43, Faull J. (G),
- 29:39, De Koning T. (G),
- 30:50, Fawcett L. (G),
- 3rd Quarter (22 - 15)
- 00:59, Fawcett L. (G),
- 02:25, (Behind Rushed),
- 06:38, Higgins J. (G),
- 11:37, Henry L. (Behind),
- 13:35, Carroll J. (Behind),
- 15:28, Byrnes R. (Behind),
- 17:09, Banfield C. (G),
- 19:48, (Behind Rushed),
- 22:09, Taranto T. (Behind),
- 23:24, (Behind Rushed),
- 24:50, Hall M. (G),
- 26:34, Lynch T. (G),
- 4th Quarter (22 - 19)
- 01:07, Faull J. (Behind),
- 02:55, Lynch T. (G),
- 04:46, Garcia H. (G),
- 07:14, Hall M. (Behind),
- 09:43, Marshall R. (G),
- 16:09, Fawcett L. (G),
- 19:20, (Behind Rushed),
- 22:21, Caminiti A. (G),
- 24:49, Macrae J. (Behind),
- 26:58, Ross J. (G),
- 29:25, De Koning T. (Behind),
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 18).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St Kilda won 5.St Kilda has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).Richmond is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).St Kilda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, St Kilda has had a series of away games. In this match, St Kilda is the obvious favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St Kilda won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1585:1612. (average 79.3:80.6).Including home matches between the teams, St Kilda won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 897:886. (average 89.7:88.6).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 08.08.25 | Richmond Tigers - St Kilda Saints | 52:56 | | 29.03.25 | St Kilda Saints - Richmond Tigers | 135:53 | | 11.08.24 | Richmond Tigers - St Kilda Saints | 51:99 | | 07.04.24 | Richmond Tigers - St Kilda Saints | 60:67 | | 13.08.23 | St Kilda Saints - Richmond Tigers | 93:57 | | 17.06.23 | Richmond Tigers - St Kilda Saints | 90:70 | | 03.04.22 | St Kilda Saints - Richmond Tigers | 117:84 |
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