The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Western Bulldogs 64.6%
Draw 2.7%
North Melbourne Kangaroos 32.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
70.5%
29.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
83.4%
16.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Western Bulldogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Western Bulldogs's form might have worsened.
North Melbourne Kangaroos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western Bulldogs than the current prediction. (+18.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Western Bulldogs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Melbourne Kangaroos than the current prediction. (-16.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for North Melbourne Kangaroos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Western Bulldogs - North Melbourne Kangaroos Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Western will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 95:79
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (15 - 36)
05:53, Curtis P. (G),
07:30, (Behind Rushed),
08:20, Curtis P. (G),
09:59, Kennedy M. (G),
12:41, Simpkin J. (G),
16:11, Wardlaw G. (G),
18:19, Darling J. (G),
21:01, Croft J. (Behind),
22:16, Bontempelli M. (Behind),
27:46, Spargo C. (G),
29:22, Hynes C. (G),
2nd Quarter (21 - 26)
01:31, Xerri T. (G),
03:28, Naughton A. (G),
04:55, Liberatore T. (Behind),
05:19, Bontempelli M. (G),
07:05, Simpkin J. (Behind),
08:10, Freijah J. (G),
12:55, Dawson W. (Behind),
17:40, Davidson S. (Behind),
21:48, Banch Z. (G),
23:10, (Behind Rushed),
25:42, Curtis P. (G),
26:54, Davies-Uniacke L. (G),
3rd Quarter (33 - 17)
01:43, Banch Z. (Behind),
03:09, (Behind Rushed),
04:15, Bontempelli M. (Behind),
05:37, Khamis B. (G),
08:01, Naughton A. (Behind),
09:27, Darling J. (Behind),
11:32, Darling J. (G),
13:22, (Behind Rushed),
15:46, Richards E. (G),
17:10, Liberatore T. (G),
19:57, Kennedy M. (Behind),
21:52, Blamires T. (Behind),
23:10, Naughton A. (G),
26:18, Kennedy M. (G),
29:39, Curtis P. (G),
4th Quarter (8 - 21)
01:09, Davidson S. (G),
05:55, (Behind Rushed),
10:17, Sheezel H. (Behind),
14:25, Davies-Uniacke L. (G),
20:18, Blamires T. (Behind),
21:36, (Behind Rushed),
23:29, Banch Z. (G),
26:38, (Behind Rushed),
29:54, Parker L. (G),
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Western won 5.
Western has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
North Melbourne has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Western is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Western won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2028:1498. (average 101.4:74.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Western won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1023:743. (average 102.3:74.3).
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