The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Western Bulldogs 49.9%
Draw 3.6%
Collingwood Magpies 46.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
47.4%
1.2%
51.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.6%
0.9%
70.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Western Bulldogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
Collingwood Magpies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Bulldogs than the current prediction. (-15.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Western Bulldogs that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Collingwood Magpies than the current prediction. (+24%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Collingwood Magpies could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
Western Bulldogs - Collingwood Magpies Predictions
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Western will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Collingwood will win (votes: 1 - 50%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Western (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:86
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (25 - 24)
03:12, McStay D. (G),
06:02, Dolan J. (Behind),
09:01, Kennedy M. (G),
13:23, Daicos N. (G),
14:51, Naughton A. (G),
20:05, West C. (G),
23:16, Weightman C. (G),
25:12, Jones A. (G),
31:22, McStay D. (G),
2nd Quarter (23 - 14)
01:07, West R. (Behind),
07:26, Jones A. (Behind),
07:56, Bontempelli M. (G),
12:25, Lipinski P. (Behind),
13:18, (Behind Rushed),
15:54, Jones A. (G),
17:23, Naughton A. (G),
19:12, Jones A. (Behind),
20:13, Long N. (G),
22:02, West R. (Behind),
28:31, McStay D. (G),
29:52, Bontempelli M. (Behind),
3rd Quarter (20 - 18)
00:58, (Behind Rushed),
02:40, McCreery B. (Behind),
04:53, McStay D. (Behind),
06:45, McStay D. (G),
12:01, Davidson S. (G),
17:39, (Behind Rushed),
18:47, Naughton A. (G),
20:38, Jones A. (G),
23:00, Bontempelli M. (Behind),
23:50, Steele R. (Behind),
25:12, Daicos N. (G),
26:55, Membrey T. (Behind),
28:41, (Behind Rushed),
4th Quarter (28 - 37)
02:11, Lobb R. (Behind),
03:38, Cameron D. (G),
08:42, Anderson A. (G),
11:19, Richards E. (G),
13:37, Anderson A. (G),
15:07, Davidson S. (Behind),
18:48, Weightman C. (G),
20:00, (Behind Rushed),
21:36, De Goey J. (G),
22:41, Crisp J. (G),
24:03, Naughton A. (G),
26:10, Membrey T. (G),
28:27, Jones A. (G),
32:00, Davidson S. (Behind),
33:11, Membrey T. (Behind),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Western won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Western won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1582:1568. (average 79.1:78.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Western won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 665:658. (average 73.9:73.1).
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