Match Info

MLB - Spring Training

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Ed Smith Stadium (Sarasota, FL)


	Baltimore Orioles		Pittsburgh Pirates

	1	2
	1.67	2.25	Watch
	1.68	2.2
	1.74	2.16
			Watch
	1.65	2.25
	1.72	2.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.68)	2.22 ↓ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baltimore Orioles
56.7%

Pittsburgh Pirates
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baltimore Orioles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Pittsburgh Pirates has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baltimore Orioles than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pittsburgh Pirates than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

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Lineups

Batters
3. Ward T.	28. Mangum J.
35. Rutschman A.	29. O'Hearn R.
25. Alonso P.	10. Reynolds B.
6. Mountcastle R.	24. Ozuna M.
13. Kjerstad H.	14. Bart J.
23. Blaze A.	19. Triolo J.
30. Taveras L.	38. Yorke N.
32. Wilson W.	55. Callihan T.
96. Barrero J.	75. Griffin K.
Pitchers
38. Bradish K.	56. Davis N.
Coaches
. Albernaz C.	. Kelly D.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baltimore won 3.

Baltimore has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pittsburgh is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Baltimore may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Baltimore is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Baltimore won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 76:87. (average 3.8:4.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Baltimore won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 37:49. (average 3.7:4.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Baltimore Orioles - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 57.19%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baltimore Orioles
MLB Spring Training
10.03.26	Houston Astros - Baltimore Orioles	7:6 ✺
06.03.26	Baltimore Orioles - St. Louis Cardinals	2:10 ✺
05.03.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Baltimore Orioles	3:4 ✺
04.03.26	Baltimore Orioles - Houston Astros	2:4 ✺
01.03.26	Boston Red Sox - Baltimore Orioles	7:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWLW
- Pittsburgh Pirates
MLB Spring Training
09.03.26	New York Yankees - Pittsburgh Pirates	3:5 ✺
08.03.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Boston Red Sox	9:7 ✺
07.03.26	Detroit Tigers - Pittsburgh Pirates	3:5 ✺
05.03.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - St. Louis Cardinals	2:3 ✺
02.03.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Tampa Bay Rays	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

MLB Spring Training
27.02.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Baltimore Orioles	6:1
21.02.26	Baltimore Orioles - Pittsburgh Pirates	2:8
MLB
11.09.25	Baltimore Orioles - Pittsburgh Pirates	3:2
10.09.25	Baltimore Orioles - Pittsburgh Pirates	2:1
09.09.25	Baltimore Orioles - Pittsburgh Pirates	3:2
MLB Spring Training
22.03.25	Pittsburgh Pirates - Baltimore Orioles	0:4
15.03.25	Pittsburgh Pirates - Baltimore Orioles	15:5

Baltimore Orioles - Pittsburgh Pirates: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide