Match Info

MLB - Spring Training

Date: 9 March 2026, Monday

Location: Peoria Stadium (Peoria, AZ)


	San Diego Padres		Texas Rangers

	1	2
	1.74	2.15	Watch
	1.75	2.1
	1.72	2.19
			Watch
	1.73	2.1
	1.75	2.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.86)	2.14 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 11.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Diego Padres
55.2%

Texas Rangers
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Diego Padres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Texas Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego Padres than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Texas Rangers than the current prediction. (+4%)

San Diego Padres - Texas Rangers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 7:5

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Lineups

Batters
3. Merrill J.	24. Nimmo B.
9. Cronenworth J.	3. Pederson J.
21. Castellanos N.	4. McCutchen A.
30. Sheets G.	32. Carter E.
4. France T.	0. Haggerty S.
29. Johnson B.	20. Duran E.
15. Solak N.	33. Canha M.
12. Campusano L.	14. Wade T.
18. McCoy M.	47. MacIver W.
Pitchers
98. Vasquez R.	76. Supak T.
Coaches
. Stammen C.	. Schumaker S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 4.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Texas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 17 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 112:71. (average 5.6:3.6).

Including home matches between the teams, San Diego won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 52:34. (average 5.8:3.8).

Last Results with these Odds

San Diego Padres - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 51.21%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Diego Padres
MLB Spring Training
08.03.26	San Diego Padres - Cincinnati Reds	14:3 ✺
07.03.26	Cleveland Guardians - San Diego Padres	7:1 ✺
06.03.26	San Diego Padres - Chicago Cubs	3:0 ✺
05.03.26	Seattle Mariners - San Diego Padres	6:27 ✺
03.03.26	Chicago White Sox - San Diego Padres	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WLWWW
- Texas Rangers
MLB Spring Training
06.03.26	Texas Rangers - Seattle Mariners	1:5 ✺
05.03.26	Kansas City Royals - Texas Rangers	9:15 ✺
02.03.26	Texas Rangers - Cleveland Guardians	3:1 ✺
01.03.26	Seattle Mariners - Texas Rangers	4:9 ✺
25.02.26	Cleveland Guardians - Texas Rangers	4:11 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

MLB
06.07.25	San Diego Padres - Texas Rangers	4:1
05.07.25	San Diego Padres - Texas Rangers	4:7
04.07.25	San Diego Padres - Texas Rangers	3:2
04.07.24	Texas Rangers - San Diego Padres	1:3
03.07.24	Texas Rangers - San Diego Padres	4:6
02.07.24	Texas Rangers - San Diego Padres	7:0
30.07.23	San Diego Padres - Texas Rangers	5:3

San Diego Padres - Texas Rangers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide