Match Info

MLB - Spring Training

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Charlotte Sports Park (Port Charlotte, FL)


	Tampa Bay Rays		Pittsburgh Pirates

	1	2
	1.8	2.05
	1.65	2.25
	1.7	2.22
	1.67	2.2
	1.69	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.72)	2.2 ↑ (2.16)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tampa Bay Rays
56.4%

Pittsburgh Pirates
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tampa Bay Rays has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Pittsburgh Pirates has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Rays than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Pirates than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Tampa Bay Rays - Pittsburgh Pirates Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Lineups

Batters
2. Diaz Y.	19. Triolo J.
11. Lux G.	29. O'Hearn R.
8. Aranda J.	10. Reynolds B.
17. Fraley J.	5. Lowe B.
31. Mullins C.	38. Yorke N.
14. Simpson C.	14. Bart J.
6. Walls T.	2. Horwitz S.
9. Feduccia H.	25. Cook B.
1. Palacios R.	75. Griffin K.
Pitchers
18. McClanahan S.	65. Urquidy J.
Coaches
. Cash K.	. Kelly D.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 3.

Tampa Bay has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pittsburgh is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Pittsburgh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 94:71. (average 4.7:3.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 52:28. (average 4.7:2.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Tampa Bay Rays - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 55.65%, but this team recently wins 48% of matches with these odds.

Pittsburgh Pirates - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 44.35%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tampa Bay Rays
MLB Spring Training
14.03.26	Minnesota Twins - Tampa Bay Rays	6:9 ✺
13.03.26	Boston Red Sox - Tampa Bay Rays	7:6 ✺
11.03.26	Atlanta Braves - Tampa Bay Rays	5:3 ✺
10.03.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Minnesota Twins	5:6 ✺
09.03.26	Detroit Tigers - Tampa Bay Rays	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLLT
- Pittsburgh Pirates
MLB Spring Training
14.03.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Baltimore Orioles	8:6 ✺
13.03.26	Detroit Tigers - Pittsburgh Pirates	5:7 ✺
12.03.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Atlanta Braves	5:2 ✺
11.03.26	Baltimore Orioles - Pittsburgh Pirates	7:2 ✺
09.03.26	New York Yankees - Pittsburgh Pirates	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

MLB Spring Training
02.03.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Tampa Bay Rays	4:1
MLB
02.04.25	Tampa Bay Rays - Pittsburgh Pirates	2:4
01.04.25	Tampa Bay Rays - Pittsburgh Pirates	7:0
31.03.25	Tampa Bay Rays - Pittsburgh Pirates	6:1
MLB Spring Training
19.03.25	Tampa Bay Rays - Pittsburgh Pirates	5:2
28.02.25	Pittsburgh Pirates - Tampa Bay Rays	3:2
MLB
23.06.24	Pittsburgh Pirates - Tampa Bay Rays	1:3

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