Match Info

Euroleague - Round 25

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday

Location: LDLC Arena (Lyon)

Referee: Petek S. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1
Europe	Go3 Baltic Euroleague
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Israel	Sport 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	ASVEL Basket		Panathinaikos

	1	2
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	3.7	1.28	Watch
	3.51	1.32
	3.38	1.36	Watch
	3.3	1.29
	3.58	1.32	Watch
	3.75	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↑ (3.17)	1.31 ↓ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ASVEL Basket
27%

Panathinaikos
73%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

69.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

64.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ASVEL Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Panathinaikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ASVEL Basket than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ASVEL Basket, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Panathinaikos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

ASVEL Basket - Panathinaikos Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. ASVEL will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Panathinaikos will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. ASVEL (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +6.5, OT - ASVEL (2.16) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. ASVEL (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:89

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Ajinca M.	17. Rogkavopoulos N.
24. Ndiaye M.	41. Hernangomez J.
0. Wade M.	8. Holmes R.
6. Angola B.	27. Toliopoulos V.
30. Watson G.	0. Shorts T.
Substitutes
3. Harrison S.	35. Faried K.
7. Heurtel T.	22. Grant J.
23. Lighty D.	5. Kalaitzakis P.
10. Massa B.	44. Mitoglou K.
1. Seljaas Z.	6. Osman C.
94. Traore A.	10. Sloukas K.
32. Vautier B.	77. Yurtseven O. F.
Coaches
. Poupet P.	. Ataman E.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ASVEL won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

ASVEL may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, ASVEL has had a series of home games.

In this match, Panathinaikos is seen as the favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, ASVEL won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1016:1101. (average 78.2:84.7).

Including home matches between the teams, ASVEL won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 495:498. (average 82.5:83).

Outrights of Euroleague for now

Panathinaikos: 21.78% Lyon-Villeurbanne: 0.99%

Standings

		Pl	W	L
1	Panathinaikos	4	4	0	375:292
12	Lyon-Villeurbanne	4	2	2	353:377

Last Results with these Odds

Panathinaikos - the odds 1.38 are the expected chance of winning is 69.75%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASVEL Basket
French LNB
25.01.26	Le Mans - ASVEL Basket	88:91 ✺
Euroleague
23.01.26	ASVEL Basket - Barcelona	91:98 ✺
20.01.26	ASVEL Basket - Žalgiris Kaunas	77:96 ✺
French LNB
18.01.26	ASVEL Basket - Le Portel	104:58 ✺
Euroleague
16.01.26	ASVEL Basket - Hapoel Tel Aviv	73:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLWL
- Panathinaikos BC
Greek Basket League A1
25.01.26	Panathinaikos - Maroussi Athens	92:81 ✺
Euroleague
22.01.26	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Panathinaikos	75:71 ✺
20.01.26	Panathinaikos - Baskonia	93:74 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
18.01.26	PAOK - Panathinaikos	69:74 ✺
Euroleague
15.01.26	Bayern München - Panathinaikos	85:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
15.10.25	Panathinaikos - ASVEL Basket	91:85
28.02.25	ASVEL Basket - Panathinaikos	93:96
30.10.24	Panathinaikos - ASVEL Basket	92:68
08.03.24	Panathinaikos - ASVEL Basket	85:67
14.12.23	ASVEL Basket - Panathinaikos	81:89
16.03.23	ASVEL Basket - Panathinaikos	82:86
25.11.22	Panathinaikos - ASVEL Basket	77:58

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