Match Info

NCAA

Date: 1 January 2026, Thursday


	Cal Poly Mustangs		UC San Diego Tritons

	1	2
	4.2	1.25
	3.9	1.22
	3.6	1.25	Watch
	4.2	1.22
	3.97	1.23
	4.5	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.06 ↑ (3.25)	1.23 ↓ (1.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cal Poly Mustangs
23.3%

UC San Diego Tritons
76.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

71.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cal Poly Mustangs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

UC San Diego Tritons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Cal Poly Mustangs - UC San Diego Tritons Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:90

#ad

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cal Poly won 0.

Cal Poly has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

UC San Diego has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cal Poly may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, UC San Diego is seen as the favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Cal Poly won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 486:556. (average 60.8:69.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Cal Poly won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 272:314. (average 68:78.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cal Poly Mustangs basketball
NCAA College Basketball
21.12.25	Cal Poly Mustangs - Idaho Vandals	80:83 OT ✺
19.12.25	UCLA Bruins - Cal Poly Mustangs	108:87 ✺
16.12.25	Cal Poly Mustangs - Montana State Bobcats	80:83 ✺
06.12.25	Cal Poly Mustangs - UC Riverside Highlanders	84:88 ✺
04.12.25	Cal State Fullerton Titans - Cal Poly Mustangs	91:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLLW
- UC San Diego Tritons basketball
NCAA College Basketball
19.12.25	UC San Diego Tritons - San Diego Toreros	80:82 ✺
16.12.25	Loyola Marymount Lions - UC San Diego Tritons	57:67 ✺
13.12.25	UC San Diego Tritons - Tulane Green Wave	93:67 ✺
06.12.25	Long Beach State 49ers - UC San Diego Tritons	74:80 ✺
02.12.25	Nevada Wolf Pack - UC San Diego Tritons	76:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
20.02.25	Cal Poly Mustangs - UC San Diego Tritons	67:81
09.01.25	UC San Diego Tritons - Cal Poly Mustangs	95:68
09.03.24	UC San Diego Tritons - Cal Poly Mustangs	92:87
13.01.24	Cal Poly Mustangs - UC San Diego Tritons	61:86
02.03.23	UC San Diego Tritons - Cal Poly Mustangs	Canceled
19.01.23	Cal Poly Mustangs - UC San Diego Tritons	64:71
05.03.22	Cal Poly Mustangs - UC San Diego Tritons	80:76

Cal Poly Mustangs - UC San Diego Tritons: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide