Match Info

NCAA

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday


	Long Beach State 49ers		Cal Poly Mustangs

	1	2
	1.74	2.15
	1.7	2.05
	1.73	2.01	Watch
	1.73	2.1
	1.73	2.1
	1.74	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.7)	2.09 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Long Beach State 49ers
54.8%

Cal Poly Mustangs
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Long Beach State 49ers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Cal Poly Mustangs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Long Beach State 49ers than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cal Poly Mustangs than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Long Beach State 49ers - Cal Poly Mustangs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:80

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Long Beach State won 2.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Long Beach State may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Cal Poly has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Long Beach State won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1490:1422. (average 74.5:71.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Long Beach State won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 834:791. (average 75.8:71.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Long Beach State 49ers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
21.12.25	Iowa State Cyclones - Long Beach State 49ers	91:60 ✺
18.12.25	Long Beach State 49ers - Pepperdine Waves	81:78 ✺
09.12.25	San Jose State Spartans - Long Beach State 49ers	89:83 OT ✺
06.12.25	Long Beach State 49ers - UC San Diego Tritons	74:80 ✺
04.12.25	UC Santa Barbara Gauchos - Long Beach State 49ers	84:77 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLLL
- Cal Poly Mustangs basketball
NCAA College Basketball
01.01.26	Cal Poly Mustangs - UC San Diego Tritons	67:65 ✺
21.12.25	Cal Poly Mustangs - Idaho Vandals	80:83 OT ✺
19.12.25	UCLA Bruins - Cal Poly Mustangs	108:87 ✺
16.12.25	Cal Poly Mustangs - Montana State Bobcats	80:83 ✺
06.12.25	Cal Poly Mustangs - UC Riverside Highlanders	84:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
08.03.25	Long Beach State 49ers - Cal Poly Mustangs	69:83
25.01.25	Cal Poly Mustangs - Long Beach State 49ers	78:69
10.02.24	Long Beach State 49ers - Cal Poly Mustangs	77:68
04.01.24	Cal Poly Mustangs - Long Beach State 49ers	82:89
07.03.23	Long Beach State 49ers - Cal Poly Mustangs	68:88
26.01.23	Cal Poly Mustangs - Long Beach State 49ers	52:70
12.01.23	Long Beach State 49ers - Cal Poly Mustangs	77:58

Long Beach State 49ers - Cal Poly Mustangs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide