Match Info

Lega A - Round 27

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: PalaFitLineDesio (Desio)

Referee: Attard B. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	LBA TV


	Cantù		Varese

	1	2
			Watch
	1.45	2.6	Watch
	1.43	2.75
	1.5	2.4	Watch
	1.47	2.7
	1.49	2.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.51)	2.63 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cantù
64.2%

Varese
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cantù has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Varese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cantù than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varese than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Cantù - Varese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
11. Ballo O.	2. Alviti D.
12. Bortolani G.	11. Iroegbu I.
3. Chiozza C.	4. Moore T.
23. Fevrier I.	8. Nkamhoua O.
20. Sneed X.	15. Renfro N.
Substitutes
21. Basile G.	19. Bergamin M.
10. De Nicolao A.	55. Freeman A.
32. Green E.	34. Ladurner M.
36. Gualdi N.	13. Librizzi M.
19. Molteni M.	7. N'Guessan E.
9. Moraschini R.	1. Stewart C.
90. Okeke L.	5. Villa M.
Coaches
. De Raffaele W.	. Kastritis I.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cantù won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Cantù could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cantù won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1585:1631. (average 79.3:81.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Cantù won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 909:868. (average 82.6:78.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
6	Varese	3	2	1	239:251	4
13	Cantu	2	0	2	157:170	0

Last Results with these Odds

Varese - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.81%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pallacanestro Cantu
Italian Lega A Basketball
13.04.26	Virtus Bologna - Cantù	89:79 ✺
04.04.26	Cantù - Dinamo Sassari	80:78 ✺
29.03.26	Cantù - Trieste	97:76 ✺
22.03.26	Derthona Basket Tortona - Cantù	100:73 ✺
15.03.26	Cantù - Napoli Basket	94:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWLW
- Pallacanestro Varese
Italian Lega A Basketball
12.04.26	Varese - Dinamo Sassari	91:90 ✺
04.04.26	Trieste - Varese	90:89 ✺
28.03.26	Varese - Derthona Basket Tortona	97:87 ✺
22.03.26	Napoli Basket - Varese	104:75 ✺
15.03.26	Varese - Treviso Basket	91:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
16.11.25	Varese - Cantù	91:82
31.01.21	Cantù - Varese	97:82
11.10.20	Varese - Cantù	80:90
Italian Lega A Super Cup Basketball
07.09.20	Cantù - Varese	81:72
04.09.20	Varese - Cantù	84:77
Italian Lega A Basketball
08.12.19	Cantù - Varese	74:67
20.04.19	Cantù - Varese	84:75

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