Match Info

Lega A - Round 26

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Palasport Lino Oldrini (Varese)

Referee: Cassina F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	LBA TV


	Varese		Dinamo Sassari

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.81
	1.43	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.85
	1.43	2.92	Watch
	1.45	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.45)	2.75 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 174.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varese
65.9%

Dinamo Sassari
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Dinamo Sassari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varese than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Varese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Sassari than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dinamo Sassari could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Varese - Dinamo Sassari Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Alviti D.	9. Beliauskas L.
11. Iroegbu I.	4. Buie D.
4. Moore T.	2. Marshall C.
8. Nkamhoua O.	25. Thomas R.
15. Renfro N.	22. Vincini L.
Substitutes
19. Bergamin M.	14. Casu E.
55. Freeman A.	11. Ceron M.
34. Ladurner M.	5. Macon D.
13. Librizzi M.	29. Mcglynn N.
7. N'Guessan E.	24. Mezzanotte A.
1. Stewart C.	7. Seck F.
5. Villa M.	6. Zanelli A.
Coaches
. Kastritis I.	. Mrsic V.

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varese won 5.

Varese has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sassari is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sassari may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Varese could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Varese will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Varese won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1684:1742. (average 84.2:87.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Varese won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 738:746. (average 82:82.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
6	Varese	3	2	1	239:251	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pallacanestro Varese
Italian Lega A Basketball
04.04.26	Trieste - Varese	90:89 ✺
28.03.26	Varese - Derthona Basket Tortona	97:87 ✺
22.03.26	Napoli Basket - Varese	104:75 ✺
15.03.26	Varese - Treviso Basket	91:86 ✺
08.03.26	Udine - Varese	81:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWLWW
- Dinamo Sassari
Italian Lega A Basketball
04.04.26	Cantù - Dinamo Sassari	80:78 ✺
29.03.26	Dinamo Sassari - Treviso Basket	103:108 ✺
22.03.26	Olimpia Milano - Dinamo Sassari	99:87 ✺
15.03.26	Dinamo Sassari - Reggiana	99:102 ✺
07.03.26	Basket Trento - Dinamo Sassari	96:99 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
05.10.25	Dinamo Sassari - Varese	102:105
19.04.25	Varese - Dinamo Sassari	89:84
05.01.25	Dinamo Sassari - Varese	81:86
21.04.24	Dinamo Sassari - Varese	88:112
05.11.23	Varese - Dinamo Sassari	90:79
18.03.23	Dinamo Sassari - Varese	102:73
02.10.22	Varese - Dinamo Sassari	87:81

Varese - Dinamo Sassari: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide