Match Info

Lega A - Round 27

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Cittadella dello Sport (Tortona)

Referee: Bartolomeo A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	LBA TV


	Derthona Basket Tortona		Virtus Bologna

	1	2
			Watch
	2.08	1.68	Watch
	2.24	1.66
	2.03	1.75	Watch
	2.15	1.71
	2.14	1.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.05)	1.71 (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derthona Basket Tortona
44.6%

Virtus Bologna
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derthona Basket Tortona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Virtus Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derthona Basket Tortona than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Bologna than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Derthona Basket Tortona - Virtus Bologna Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tortona (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Virtus Bologna (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Users Predictions: Derthona Basket Tortona will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Gorham J.	35. Diouf M.
5. Manjon E.	3. Edwards C.
17. Olejniczak D.	23. Hackett D.
12. Strautins A.	34. Jallow K.
1. Vital C.	7. Niang S.
Substitutes
11. Baldasso T.	8. Accorsi M.
19. Biligha P.	45. Akele N.
7. Chapman B.	21. Alston Jr. D.
3. Hubb P.	31. Diarra A.
6. Pecchia A.	99. Dos Santos Y.
25. Riismaa J.	24. Ferrari F.
9. Tandia L.	9. Smailagic A.
Coaches
. Fioretti M.	. Jakovljevic N.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tortona won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Virtus Bologna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Virtus Bologna has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Tortona will win today's game, with odds of 1.96.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tortona won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 1535:1746. (average 76.8:87.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Tortona won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 723:739. (average 80.3:82.1).

Outrights of Italian Lega A Basketball for now

Virtus Bologna: 19.47%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
1	Virtus Bologna	2	2	0	188:158	4
8	Tortona	2	1	1	171:201	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derthona Basket Tortona
Italian Lega A Basketball
12.04.26	Derthona Basket Tortona - Basket Trento	103:84 ✺
04.04.26	Treviso Basket - Derthona Basket Tortona	91:86 ✺
28.03.26	Varese - Derthona Basket Tortona	97:87 ✺
22.03.26	Derthona Basket Tortona - Cantù	100:73 ✺
08.03.26	Derthona Basket Tortona - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	85:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLWW
- Virtus Bologna
Euroleague
16.04.26	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Virtus Bologna	85:89 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
13.04.26	Virtus Bologna - Cantù	89:79 ✺
Euroleague
10.04.26	Virtus Bologna - Baskonia	72:82 ✺
07.04.26	Virtus Bologna - Bayern München	80:85 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
05.04.26	Virtus Bologna - Venezia	82:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Cup Basketball
21.02.26	Derthona Basket Tortona - Virtus Bologna	84:78
Italian Lega A Basketball
08.12.25	Virtus Bologna - Derthona Basket Tortona	92:77
09.02.25	Derthona Basket Tortona - Virtus Bologna	66:98
06.11.24	Virtus Bologna - Derthona Basket Tortona	85:81
21.05.24	Virtus Bologna - Derthona Basket Tortona	92:63
18.05.24	Derthona Basket Tortona - Virtus Bologna	82:75
16.05.24	Derthona Basket Tortona - Virtus Bologna	91:81

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