Match Info

EuroBasket - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Xiaomi Arena (Riga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 4
Czech-republic	CT sport Plus
Finland	Ruutu+
Germany	Magenta Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Poland	TVP Sport
Serbia	SportKlub 4
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
World	Court Side 1891


	Turkey		Sweden

	1	2
			Watch
	1.03	12	Watch
	1.03	14.5	Watch
	1.04	13.4
	1.02	9.42	Watch
	1.03	15.5
	1.01	23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.03 ↑ (1.01)	14.64 ↓ (23)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-19)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Turkey
93.4%

Sweden
6.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

95.8%

4.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Turkey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Sweden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Turkey - Sweden Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Turkey will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Sweden will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Turkey: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 165.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -10, 1st Half - Turkey (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 166.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 40.5, 1Q - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Turkey will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Turkey (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:72

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
0. Larkin S. Anadolu Efes	35. Birgander S. Murcia
6. Osman C. Panathinaikos	18. Gaddefors V. Torun
24. Osmani E. Anadolu Efes	12. Hakanson L. Murcia
23. Sengun A. Houston Rockets	9. Larsson P. Miami Heat
55. Sipahi K. Bahcesehir Koleji	19. Pantzar M. J. Bilbao
Substitutes
10. Bitim O. Fenerbahce	1. Andersson D. Dziki Warszawa
30. Bona Adem Philadelphia 76ers	6. Borg T. Palencia
2. Hazer S. Bahcesehir Koleji	5. Falk W. Murcia
22. Korkmaz F. Bahcesehir Koleji	15. Markusson M. Dabrowa Gornicza
5. Sanli S. Fenerbahce	31. Njie B. Braunschweig
33. Yilmaz E. Anadolu Efes	2. Ramstedt A. Valur
77. Yurtseven O. F. Panathinaikos	16. Spires N.
Coaches
. Ataman E.	. Riipinen M.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Turkey won 3.

Turkey has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Sweden is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Turkey is the obvious favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Turkey won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 495:436. (average 82.5:72.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Turkey basketball
EuroBasket
03.09.25	Turkey - Serbia	95:90 ✺
01.09.25	Estonia - Turkey	64:84 ✺
30.08.25	Turkey - Portugal	95:54 ✺
29.08.25	Turkey - Czech Republic	92:78 ✺
27.08.25	Latvia - Turkey	73:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWWWW
- Sweden basketball
EuroBasket
03.09.25	Lithuania - Sweden	74:71 ✺
01.09.25	Sweden - Montenegro	81:87 ✺
30.08.25	Great Britain - Sweden	59:78 ✺
29.08.25	Germany - Sweden	105:83 ✺
27.08.25	Sweden - Finland	90:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Olympic Games - Basketball
18.08.23	Sweden - Turkey	84:105
EuroBasket
20.02.21	Turkey - Sweden	88:80
24.02.20	Sweden - Turkey	87:80
World Championship Basketball
01.07.18	Turkey - Sweden	77:52
23.02.18	Sweden - Turkey	59:58
EuroBasket
08.09.13	Sweden - Turkey	74:87

Turkey - Sweden: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide