Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - First round - Round 1

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday

Location: Arena Bonifika (Koper)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	Arena Sport 1


	Slovenia		Estonia

	1	2
	1.53	2.4	Watch
	1.6	2.36	Watch
	1.62	2.19
	1.48	2.37	Watch
	1.6	2.27	Watch
	1.52	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.48)	2.33 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slovenia
59.9%

Estonia
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slovenia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Estonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Slovenia - Estonia Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Slovenia will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Estonia will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Slovenia: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Slovenia (votes: 2 - 50%). Estonia (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Hrovat G. (C) Dijon	0. Drell H. Joventut Badalona
21. Kunc A. Torun	8. Kirves M. BC Jonava
24. Omic A. Merkezefendi	34. Konontsuk A. Bursaspor Durmazlar
5. Samar Z. Gran Canaria	77. Kullamae K. (C) Lietkabelis
37. Stergar L. Limoges	25. Riismaa J. Derthona Tortona
Substitutes
20. Cerkvenik M. Cedevita Olimpija	23. Bockler L. Krosno
33. Glas G. Vienna Basket	35. Ilver M. Tartu Ulikool
22. Joksimovic S. Saski Baskonia	99. Lips K. Tartu Ulikool
13. Jurkovic R. Ilirija	40. Paasoja M. Tartu Ulikool
2. Krampelj M. Bilbao	5. Post S. Tal Tech
32. Prepelic B. Ilirija	10. Toom H. BC Kalev/Cramo
35. Smrekar Z. Krka	3. Treier K. Basket Napoli
Coaches
. Sekulic A.	. Rannula H.

Preview

Slovenia could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Slovenia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 182:162. (average 91:81).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Slovenia basketball
EuroBasket
10.09.25	Germany - Slovenia	99:91 ✺
07.09.25	Italy - Slovenia	77:84 ✺
04.09.25	Israel - Slovenia	96:106 ✺
02.09.25	Iceland - Slovenia	79:87 ✺
31.08.25	Slovenia - Belgium	86:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWWW
- Estonia basketball
EuroBasket
03.09.25	Estonia - Portugal	65:68 ✺
01.09.25	Estonia - Turkey	64:84 ✺
30.08.25	Czech Republic - Estonia	75:89 ✺
29.08.25	Estonia - Latvia	70:72 ✺
27.08.25	Serbia - Estonia	98:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

World Championship Basketball
24.02.23	Estonia - Slovenia	79:78
25.08.22	Slovenia - Estonia	104:83

Slovenia - Estonia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide