Match Info

Euroleague - Round 22

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday

Location: Ülker Sports Arena (Istanbul)

Referee: Kowalski M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 2
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1
Europe	Go3 Baltic Euroleague
Finland	Ruutu+, Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 4
Israel	Sport 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
World	EuroLeague TV


	Fenerbahçe		Valencia

	1	2
	1.42	2.82	Watch
	1.42	2.95
	1.45	2.94
	1.4	2.75
	1.44	2.92	Watch
	1.45	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.39)	2.86 ↓ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 174.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fenerbahçe
66.7%

Valencia
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.7%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fenerbahçe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Fenerbahçe - Valencia Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Valencia will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fenerbahçe: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Fenerbahçe (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Valencia (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -8.5, OT - Fenerbahçe (2.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 175, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Fenerbahçe (votes: 3 - 75%). Valencia (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Biberovic T.	1. Taylor K.
4. Melli N.	4. Pradilla J.
92. Birch K.	12. Sako N.
20. Hall D.	8. Montero J.
8. Horton-Tucker T.	5. De Larrea S.
Substitutes
0. Bacot A.	0. Badio B.
2. Baldwin W.	24. Costello M.
1. Birsen J.	7. Key B.
11. Boston B.	10. Moore O.
12. De Colo N.	2. Puerto J.
18. Jantunen M.	3. Reuvers N.
10. Mahmutoglu M.	13. Thompson D.
Coaches
. Jasikevicius S.	. Martinez Sanchez P.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe won 2.

Fenerbahçe is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Valencia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Fenerbahçe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Valencia has had a series of home games.

Fenerbahçe is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 918:891. (average 83.5:81).

Including home matches between the teams, Fenerbahçe won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 460:421. (average 92:84.2).

Outrights of Euroleague for now

Fenerbahce: 10.67% Valencia: 3.24%

Standings

		Pl	W	L
2	Valencia	4	4	0	405:356
4	Fenerbahce	4	3	1	328:302

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fenerbahçe Basketball
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
11.01.26	Fenerbahçe - Bahcesehir Koleji	89:58 ✺
Euroleague
08.01.26	Dubai - Fenerbahçe	92:81 ✺
06.01.26	Fenerbahçe - Olympiacos Piraeus	88:80 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
04.01.26	Beşiktaş - Fenerbahçe	87:101 ✺
Euroleague
02.01.26	Baskonia - Fenerbahçe	93:108 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWWW
- Valencia BC
Spanish ACB League
12.01.26	Valencia - Basket Zaragoza	115:73 ✺
10.01.26	Valencia - Unicaja Malaga	70:76 ✺
Euroleague
08.01.26	Valencia - AS Monaco Basket	92:101 ✺
06.01.26	Crvena Zvezda - Valencia	89:106 ✺
Spanish ACB League
04.01.26	Valencia - Basquet Manresa	103:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
28.10.25	Valencia - Fenerbahçe	92:79
14.03.24	Fenerbahçe - Valencia	118:88
13.10.23	Valencia - Fenerbahçe	77:74
16.03.23	Valencia - Fenerbahçe	82:80
20.10.22	Fenerbahçe - Valencia	79:77
12.03.21	Valencia - Fenerbahçe	66:52
27.11.20	Fenerbahçe - Valencia	86:90

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